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La Liga

Real Sociedad - Atlético de Madrid

09/13/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Real Sociedad
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Atlético de Madrid
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
RSADM

Real Sociedad

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.11
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.07
全员可用

Atlético de Madrid

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.65
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.08
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.03
Koke 替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Pablo Barrios未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅98%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

70%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a 49% home win probability for Real Sociedad
  • Critical bottleneck for Real Sociedad with only 10% of their seasonal goal threat available in the lineup
  • Real Sociedad showed strong offensive metrics recently, averaging 5.4 shots on target per match
风险因素
  • Atlético de Madrid suffer from away weakness, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per away game
  • Real Sociedad must compensate for the suspension of defender J. Martín Vicente
概述

Real Sociedad host Atlético de Madrid at the Anoeta Stadium

La Liga match on September 13, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both teams are currently tied on 7 points in the middle of the table

Real Sociedad sit in 11th place, while Atlético de Madrid are in 9th position

An important clash to keep pace with the European spots

近期状态

Real Sociedad show mixed form with a record of LLWDW

Their last match resulted in a 3-2 win against Elche

Atlético de Madrid hold a form curve of WDWLL

The visitors recently suffered two consecutive defeats against Liverpool and Athletic Club

统计数据

Real Sociedad scored 59 goals and conceded 61 overall this season

At home, they average 1.54 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match

Atlético de Madrid scored 62 goals and conceded 44 in total

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.93 goals per game

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad registered no home wins

Atlético de Madrid secured 2 wins alongside 3 draws

The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on April 18, 2026

The overall goal difference stands at 11-6 in favor of Atlético de Madrid

关键球员

Mikel Oyarzabal provided 2 assists this season with an average rating of 6.72

Luka Sucic scored 2 goals so far with a rating of 7.08

Álex Baena is in strong form with 2 goals and 1 assist with a 7.32 rating

门将

Álex Remiro is in goal for Real Sociedad and boasts a strong seasonal rating of 7.26

Jan Oblak guards the net for Atlético de Madrid with an average rating of 6.96 in 30 appearances

影响因素

Real Sociedad benefit from home advantage at the Anoeta Stadium on natural grass

The venue history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game with a 60% both teams to score rate

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