La Liga
Celta de Vigo - Málaga
09/13/2026, 12:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Celta de Vigo
Málaga
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
31%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Offensive slump: Celta's recent scoring rate of 0.67 goals is well below their season average of 1.39
- Tactical sterility: Celta averaged 56% possession recently but managed only 2.4 shots on target per game
- Missing squad impact: Only 4% of Celta's seasonal goal contribution is actively available in this lineup
风险因素
- Limited data availability regarding head-to-head history and Málaga squad statistics
- Lack of offensive threat: Málaga averaged only 2.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Defensive struggles: Málaga conceded an average of 2.25 goals in their recent fixtures
概述
Celta de Vigo (16th place, 3 points) host Málaga (18th place, 2 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos
La Liga match on September 13, 2026, 2:00 PM
The mathematical model predicts 1.37 goals for the hosts and 0.93 goals for the visitors
近期状态
Celta de Vigo's recent form is DLLDD
The hosts recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Málaga travel with a form of LLDLD
The visitors registered 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats over their last 5 games
统计数据
Celta de Vigo scored an average of 1.39 goals and conceded 1.26 goals last season
At home, Celta averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
Málaga averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded so far this season
Celta's home games had a BTTS rate of 60% based on recent venue history
关键球员
Miguel Román leads the midfield with a rating of 7.03 and 1 assist
Marcos Alonso solidifies the defense with an average rating of 7.04
Goalkeeper Ionuț Radu has maintained a stable rating of 7.03
For Málaga, goalkeeper Alfonso Herrero serves as a key starting player
门将
Ionuț Radu starts for Celta de Vigo with a season rating of 7.03
Alfonso Herrero starts for Málaga but is yet to record a clean sheet this season
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio de Balaídos
Recent matches at this venue averaged 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of the historical matches at this stadium