La Liga
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano
09/12/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.4
1.0
2:1
10%2:0
10%1:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
8%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
67%
平局
20%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
33%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Squad disadvantage for the guests: Jorge de Frutos (10 goals) and Isi Palazón are not available for Rayo Vallecano
- Host's offensive dominance: Real Madrid averaged 8.6 shots on target in recent matches
- Strong home indicator: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 67%
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Real Madrid have only 4 days of rest compared to their opponent's 7 days
- Vulnerable away defense: Rayo Vallecano concede an average of 1.81 goals per away match this season
概述
Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on September 12, 2026, 9:00 PM
Real Madrid currently sit in 4th place with 9 points
Rayo Vallecano travel as 14th-placed side with 4 points
Clear favorite role for the hosts in their home stadium
近期状态
Real Madrid show strong form with a WWWLW record
The team registered four wins and one defeat in their last five matches
Rayo Vallecano display inconsistent form with a LLDLW run
The guests recorded only one win alongside three defeats and one draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Real Madrid score an average of 2.03 goals per game this season
In home matches the host's defense concedes only 0.73 goals on average
Rayo Vallecano average 1.08 goals per game
The guest's defense struggles away from home with an average of 1.81 goals conceded
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won twice with 2 draws
Rayo Vallecano are still waiting for an away win in this matchup
The total goal difference stands at 7 to 5 goals in favor of the home team
The last direct meeting ended in a 2:1 home victory on February 1, 2026
关键球员
Kylian Mbappé shines this season with 25 goals and 5 assists
Vinicius Junior contributed 16 goals and 5 assists so far
Jude Bellingham is also a key performer with 6 goals and 4 assists
For the visitors Sergio Camello stands out with 5 goals and 1 assist
Álvaro García delivered 4 goals and 5 assists so far
Unai López added 4 assists to the team's tally this season
门将
Thibaut Courtois played 32 matches and contributed to 14 clean sheets
Emil Audero starts in goal for Rayo Vallecano
The visitor's defense secured 12 clean sheets in total this season
影响因素
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu saw an average of 4.0 goals in recent matches
The historical rate for over 2.5 goals at this stadium stands at 80%
Both teams scored in 60% of the recent home games at this venue