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La Liga

Athletic Club - Elche

09/12/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Athletic Club
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Elche
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ACELC

Athletic Club

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.10
Gorka Guruzeta未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
Aitor Paredes替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Elche

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.60
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Pedro Bigas替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Marc Aguado替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
David Affengruber未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅55%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.45
+0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

31%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

69%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Form advantage for the hosts: Athletic Club comes off two consecutive wins while Elche suffered three straight defeats recently
  • Vulnerable away defense: Elche concedes a very high average of 2.53 goals per away match this season
  • Improved home attack: Athletic Club currently averages 1.6 goals per game, which is higher than their seasonal average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Key absences for the visitors: Pedro Bigas, Marc Aguado, and David Affengruber are missing, leaving Elche with only 56% of their usual starting XI strength
  • Passive approach: Athletic Club has been counter-oriented recently, averaging only 41% possession in their past matches
  • Attacking threats from Elche: The visitors averaged a dangerous 5.2 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Athletic Club (10th place, 6 points) host Elche (19th place, 1 point) at the San Mamés Barria

La Liga match on September 12, 2026, 6:30 PM

The home side enters the match as favorites against the second-to-last team in the standings

近期状态

Athletic Club form: LLLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Elche form: DDLLL

Athletic Club improved recently with two consecutive wins

Elche suffered three losses in a row at the end of their recent run

统计数据

Athletic Club averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season

Elche averages 1.29 goals scored per match overall

The away side concedes an extremely vulnerable average of 2.53 goals in away games

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches overall

1 win for Athletic Club and 1 draw

The last match ended 2-1 in favor of Athletic Club on February 20, 2026

关键球员

Robert Navarro shows rising form with 2 goals in his last 4 matches

Nico Williams has already recorded 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Iñaki Williams contributed 3 goals and 6 assists so far

Germán Valera is the top contributor for the visitors with 4 goals and 5 assists

Tete Morente recorded 2 assists in his last 4 matches

Buba Sangaré scored 1 goal in his last 4 appearances

门将

Unai Simón kept 6 clean sheets so far this season

Matías Dituro kept 8 clean sheets for Elche this season

Simón shows rising form with a last rating of 7.15

影响因素

Home advantage on natural grass at San Mamés Barria

Stadium history shows an average of 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the previous matches at this venue

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