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La Liga

Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés

09/12/2026, 12:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Racing Santander
1.3
Total xG
3.2
Deportivo Alavés
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RSDA

Racing Santander

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.87
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.44
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.21
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.14
全员可用

Deportivo Alavés

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.2球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.21
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
Toni Martínez替补席 (14球, 3助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.45
+0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

25%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

75%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Alavés enters in strong form as league runners-up with a four-match unbeaten run
  • Alavés averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches showing high offensive threat
  • High-scoring history at El Sardinero with an average of 3.5 goals per game
风险因素
  • Toni Martínez is missing from the Alavés squad, reducing active goal share to 77%
  • Racing conceded three goals in their only home match of the season so far
  • Limited player form data available for Racing Santander
概述

Racing Santander hosts Deportivo Alavés

La Liga match on September 12, 2026, 12:00 PM

Second-placed Alavés visits thirteenth-placed Santander

近期状态

Racing Santander shows mixed results (Form: LDLWL)

Their last match ended in a loss against Rayo Vallecano

Deportivo Alavés is unbeaten in their last four matches (Form: LWDWW)

The visitors are coming off a victory against Osasuna

统计数据

Racing Santander averages 2.0 goals scored per match

Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 1.94 goals in away matches

Matches at El Sardinero average 3.5 total goals

Both teams scored in 75% of the games at this venue

关键球员

Yassir Zabiri has scored three goals in three venue appearances for Racing

Lucas Boyé leads the Alavés attack with 11 goals this season

Mariano Díaz is in rising form with three goals in his last four games

门将

Julen Agirrezabala guards the goal for Racing with one clean sheet this season

Antonio Sivera has recorded five clean sheets this season for Alavés

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Racing's home advantage is backed by averaging 2.0 goals scored at home

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