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La Liga

Getafe - Deportivo La Coruña

09/13/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Getafe
0.9
Total xG
1.8
Deportivo La Coruña
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

13%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
GETDLC

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-1.02
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.54
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
Kiko Femenía未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Deportivo La Coruña

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.08倍)
+0.36
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.35
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

36%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

64%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates a 36% probability of a draw with nearly identical expected goals of 0.91 to 0.92
  • Offensive improvement for Getafe: The hosts averaged 1.2 goals in recent matches, higher than their season average of 1.0
  • Struggling attack of the visitors: Deportivo La Coruña's goal production slowed down recently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
风险因素
  • Getafe averaged only 2.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
  • Limited data available for visitor squad player statistics
概述

Getafe (14th place, 4 points) host Deportivo La Coruña (6th place, 8 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

La Liga match on September 13, 2026, 6:30 PM

The visitors travel as sixth in the table while the hosts look to close the gap to the midfield

近期状态

Getafe shows a form of WWLLD with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Deportivo La Coruña enters with a form of LDDWW, including two consecutive wins

The visitors have a slightly more stable overall record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Getafe scored an average of 0.84 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.0 goals

Deportivo La Coruña impresses offensively with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per match

Getafe secured 6 clean sheets in 21 home games with a home goal ratio of 0.86 to 0.76

Deportivo presents an extremely compact away defense, conceding just 0.25 goals per game on average

门将

David Soria appeared 38 times for Getafe this season, maintaining a strong rating of 6.94

Leo Román guards the goal for the visitors, holding an average rating of 5.95 in away matches

David Soria enters this matchup with a stable form trend of plus 0.13

影响因素

Getafe benefits from an average of 2.4 goals per game in venue history at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Both teams scored in 60% of the historical home matches at the Coliseum

The historical Over 2.5 rate at the stadium stands at a moderate 40%

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