La Liga
Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo
09/03/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Real Sociedad
Celta de Vigo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Tactical trend: Real Sociedad recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match, while Celta de Vigo averaged only 2.4 shots on target
- Squad influence: Carlos Soler and Luka Sucic are missing from Real Sociedad's lineup despite the team maintaining its usual starting XI strength
- Expected value: The model calculates a statistical advantage of 1.65 expected home goals compared to 0.88 goals for Celta de Vigo
风险因素
- Offensive weakness of the visitors: Celta de Vigo scored fewer goals recently (0.75) compared to their season average (1.47) and averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match
- Vulnerable home defense: Real Sociedad conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match recently, which is higher than their season average of 1.51
- Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述
Real Sociedad (13th place, 3 points) host Celta de Vigo (17th place, 1 point) at the Anoeta Stadium
La Liga match on September 3, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams seek to improve their modest start to the season and move up the table
近期状态
Real Sociedad won 1 of their last 5 matches (Form: LDLLW)
Most recently they secured a 2-1 home victory against Espanyol
Celta de Vigo is winless in 3 matches with 2 consecutive losses (Form: DWDLL)
The visitors lost their latest home match 0-2 against Athletic Club
Form-Code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.55 goals and concedes 1.61 goals per game this season
Their home record shows an average of 1.54 goals scored and 1.29 conceded
Celta de Vigo averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per match
In their away games the visitors average 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 conceded
Both teams scored in 30 of Real Sociedad's 38 games this season
历史交锋
In the past 4 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad recorded 1 win and Celta de Vigo secured 2 wins with 1 draw
The last encounter on January 25, 2026 ended in a 3-1 home victory for Real Sociedad
Overall goals in these matches stand at 4-5 in favor of Celta de Vigo
关键球员
Mikel Oyarzabal leads Real Sociedad's attack with 15 goals and 4 assists this season
Orri Óskarsson has contributed 9 goals with 0 assists so far
Sergio Gómez shines as a playmaker with 6 assists and an average rating of 6.93
For Celta de Vigo Ferran Jutglà scored 9 goals and made 3 assists this season
Williot Swedberg registered 5 goals and 5 assists
Ilaix Moriba contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in midfield
门将
Álex Remiro guards the goal for the hosts and recorded 3 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.81
For the visitors Ionuț Radu starts in goal keeping 10 clean sheets with an average rating of 6.89
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Anoeta Stadium
In the last 5 home games an average of 4.2 goals per match was scored with an 80% BTTS rate
The mathematical model predicts a 54% probability for a home win with 1.65 expected goals for Real Sociedad