La Liga
Deportivo La Coruña - Sevilla
09/16/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Deportivo La Coruña
Sevilla
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
30%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Aubameyang in top form: The attacker leads the offense with 5 goals and 2 assists
- Rising offensive trend: Sevilla currently scores more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
- Home advantage in the model: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 41% probability
风险因素
- Sevilla weakened: Only 67% of regular starting XI strength available
- Short recovery time: Deportivo La Coruña with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited head-to-head history in the provided dataset
概述
Deportivo La Coruña (7th place, 9 points) host Sevilla (6th place, 10 points)
La Liga match at Estadio Abanca-Riazor on September 16, 2026, 7:00 PM
Only one point separates both teams in the standings
近期状态
Deportivo La Coruña remains unbeaten this season
The team maintains a form of DDWWD across all competitions
Sevilla enters the match with a form of WWLDW
The visitors won their last game 1-0 against Valencia
统计数据
Deportivo scores an average of 1.8 goals per match
Both teams scored in all 5 matches played by the home team this season
Sevilla currently scores 1.6 goals on average, higher than their season average of 1.3
The visitors conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season
关键球员
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang leads the attack with 5 goals and 2 assists
Luismi Cruz has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist so far
Lorenzo Amatucci controls the midfield with a season rating of 6.95
Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega is Sevilla's top scorer with 1 goal this season
Juan Iglesias solidifies the defense with a rating of 6.95
Jon Guridi recorded 1 goal in midfield this season
门将
Leo Román starts in goal for Deportivo, maintaining a season rating of 6.73
Odysseas Vlachodimos guards Sevilla's goal with a season average rating of 6.68
Sevilla has kept 6 clean sheets in their overall statistics
影响因素
Home advantage at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor on natural grass
The venue averages 2.0 goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of the historic matches at this stadium