La Liga
Málaga - Villarreal
09/17/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.1
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Málaga
Villarreal
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
26%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Huge loss of quality for Villarreal: only 42% of regular goal threat is available with Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze, and Nicolas Pépé missing
- Villarreal dominated possession in recent matches and averaged 6.2 shots on target
- The mathematical model predicts an away win for Villarreal with a probability of 45%
风险因素
- Villarreal enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Málaga averaged only 1.8 shots on target per match in recent games
- Villarreal concede an average of 2.08 goals per away match
概述
Málaga (18th place, 3 points) host Villarreal (19th place, 2 points) at the Estadio La Rosaleda
La Liga match on September 17, 2026, 7:30 PM
A direct relegation battle in the lower part of the table
近期状态
Málaga's current form is LDLDD with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
Villarreal show a form of DLLLL with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Both teams are still searching for their first victory of the season
统计数据
Málaga scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.50 per match this season
The hosts' goalscoring has stalled recently with 0.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.0
Villarreal concede an average of 2.08 goals per away game while scoring 1.85
Estadio La Rosaleda saw an average of 1.0 goals per match across 2 games
关键球员
Pablo Martínez stands out in Málaga's midfield with a rating of 7.05
Chupe leads the hosts' attack with one goal this season
Villarreal's Tajon Buchanan averages a rating of 6.81 in midfield with a rising form trend
Renato Veiga stabilizes the visitors' defense with a season rating of 6.94
门将
Alfonso Herrero guards the goal for Málaga with a rating of 7.01
Péter Gulácsi played once in goal for Villarreal this season with a strong rating of 8.88
Both goalkeepers aim for greater stability in this crucial match
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio La Rosaleda
The stadium's venue stats point to a low-scoring trend with an average of 1.0 goals per game