La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Valencia
09/15/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
11%2:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Deportivo Alavés
Valencia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
28%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
50%
否
51%
关键因素
- Form discrepancy: Alavés earned 10 points in their last 5 games while Valencia travel with four consecutive defeats
- Tactical dominance: Alavés averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Valencia's average of 2.0
- Model forecast: Mathematical analysis favors the home team with a calculated win probability of 51%
风险因素
- Fatigue: Deportivo Alavés with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Away weakness: Valencia concede an average of 2.00 goals per away game
概述
Deportivo Alavés host Valencia at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga match on September 15, 2026, 8:00 PM
Alavés sit in 4th place with 10 points
Valencia occupy the 20th position with only 1 point
The home team enters this clash as the favorite
近期状态
Alavés show stable form with a WDWWL record
The hosts recorded three wins and one draw in their last five matches
Valencia are in deep trouble with a DLLLL record
The visitors have suffered four consecutive defeats
统计数据
Alavés average 1.16 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per season
Valencia average 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded
The visitors struggle heavily on the road
Valencia concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match
历史交锋
Balanced history over the last 4 meetings
Both teams have 1 win each alongside 2 draws
The last encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for Valencia
A total of 5 goals have been scored by each side in these matches
关键球员
Lucas Boyé shines for Alavés with 4 goals and a 7.54 average rating
Ángel Pérez has already contributed 3 assists for the hosts
Guido Rodríguez is a key figure for Valencia with a 7.14 rating
门将
Antonio Sivera stars in goal for Alavés with a 7.12 average rating
Stole Dimitrievski defends Valencia's goal with a 6.64 rating
Both goalkeepers have made 5 appearances this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
Matches at this venue historically produce an average of 3.0 goals
Alavés' home advantage is bolstered by Valencia's poor away record