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La Liga

FC Barcelona - Racing Santander

09/16/2026, 07:30 PM

7 : 2
预期进球
FC Barcelona
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Racing Santander
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FBRS

FC Barcelona

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.69
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
-0.55
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.55
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均4.2球)
+0.46
状态上升 (4.2 vs 2.7 赛季平均)
+0.46
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.08
Fermín López替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Anthony Gordon替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Xavi Espart 替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Racing Santander

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.57倍)
-0.15
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.12
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.12
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.03
Yassir Zabiri替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Iñigo Vicente替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
81%进球产出缺失 (仅11%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.48
+0.48
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Only 12% of the goal threat available for Racing Santander, with Yassir Zabiri and Iñigo Vicente missing
  • FC Barcelona recently averaged 8.8 shots on target per match
  • FC Barcelona is currently scoring more frequently with 4.2 goals compared to their season average of 2.7
风险因素
  • FC Barcelona with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Racing Santander concedes an average of 4.00 goals per away match
概述

FC Barcelona (1st place, 15 points) host Racing Santander (10th place, 7 points) at the Camp Nou

La Liga fixture on September 16, 2026, 9:30 PM

The league leaders face the team in tenth position

近期状态

FC Barcelona are in perfect shape with 5 consecutive wins

Form: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Racing Santander have recorded mixed results with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Form: DLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

FC Barcelona average 2.50 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per match this season

At home, their defense has been highly reliable, conceding only 0.43 goals per game

Racing Santander average 2.00 goals scored away but also concede an average of 4.00 goals per away match

历史交锋

1 direct head-to-head match recorded in the dataset

Their last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for FC Barcelona on January 15, 2026

关键球员

Lamine Yamal with 6 goals and Raphinha with 6 goals and 3 assists lead the dangerous attack

Pedri orchestrates the midfield with a season rating average of 7.17

On the other side, Julen Agirrezabala stands out with a strong rating of 7.21

Sergio Canales adds stability with 1 goal and a rating of 6.97

Facundo González supports the defense with a season average of 6.34

门将

Joan García guards the goal for FC Barcelona, contributing to the team's 15 clean sheets

Julen Agirrezabala recorded a rating of 7.21 but is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the campaign

影响因素

The match will take place at the Camp Nou on natural grass

Stadium history statistics indicate an average of 4.2 goals per game in recent matches

Both teams scored in 3 of the 5 previous fixtures played at this venue

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