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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol

09/15/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Espanyol
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
RVESP

Rayo Vallecano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.43
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.36
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.25
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第8位, 相差8位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
全员可用

Espanyol

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第16位, 相差8位)
+0.05
28%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.48
+0.48
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

30%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Critical offensive bottleneck: Rayo Vallecano currently has only 20% of their typical seasonal goal threat available
  • Rayo Vallecano recently averaged 5.6 shots on target per game using a counter-oriented approach
  • Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Rayo Vallecano has a short recovery period with only 3 days since their last match
  • Espanyol also enters this match with a brief rest of only 3 days
  • Limited data availability for goalkeepers in this matchup
概述

Rayo Vallecano (16th place, 4 points) faces Espanyol (8th place, 7 points)

La Liga match on September 15, 2026, 7:00 PM at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Espanyol enters in 8th place, while Rayo seeks crucial points in the lower table

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano form: LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last match ended in a 1-4 defeat against Real Madrid

Espanyol form: WLLDW

The visitors won their last match 2-0 against Osasuna

统计数据

Rayo averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per season match

Espanyol scores an average of 1.13 goals while conceding 1.45

At home, Rayo Vallecano concedes only 0.68 goals per game on average

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches recorded

Espanyol dominates the history with 3 wins to Rayo Vallecano's 1

The last direct meeting on April 23, 2026, ended 1-0 for Rayo Vallecano

关键球员

Sergio Camello has already scored 6 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Unai López contributed 3 assists

Roberto Fernández has recorded 5 goals this season

门将

Emil Audero is in goal for Rayo Vallecano with a 7.2 rating

Rayo Vallecano secured 12 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on grass

Venue stats show 3.4 average goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate

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