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La Liga

Espanyol - Elche

09/18/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Espanyol
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Elche
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
ESPELC

Espanyol

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.58
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.37
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.22
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第20位, 相差12位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02

Elche

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.66
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.49
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.31
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第8位, 相差12位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.00
Tete Morente替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.55
+0.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

28%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

72%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Away defense weakness: Elche concedes an extremely high average of 2.53 goals per away match and has zero away clean sheets
  • Mathematical favorite: The model calculates a home win probability of 49% for Espanyol and expects 1.58 home goals
  • In-form striker: Roberto Fernández is the main offensive threat for the hosts with 6 goals this season
风险因素
  • High workload: Both teams enter this match with a short break of only 3 days since their last fixture
  • Tactical lack of threat: Espanyol averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Elche playmaker missing: Tete Morente (0 goals, 2 assists) is not included in the squad for the visitors
概述

Espanyol hosts Elche at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on September 18, 2026, 9:00 PM

Espanyol is in 8th place with 7 points

Elche is bottom of the table in 20th place with 2 points

The hosts aim to keep pace with the upper half while Elche desperately needs points

近期状态

Espanyol shows a form of LLDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches

Elche's form curve stands at LLLDL with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Both teams lost their respective last match

统计数据

Espanyol scores an average of 1.13 goals and concedes 1.45 goals per match

In home matches, the average is 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 conceded

Elche scores an average of 1.29 goals while conceding 1.5 goals per match

Away from home, Elche concedes an extremely high average of 2.53 goals and has recorded 0 clean sheets

历史交锋

In 2 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Espanyol and 1 draw

The goal ratio stands at 3:2 in favor of Espanyol

The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

Roberto Fernández leads Espanyol with 6 goals and an average rating of 7.45

Javi Hernández has contributed 4 assists with a rating of 6.8

For Elche, Fer Niño stands out with 3 goals and a rating of 6.95

Lucas Cepeda prepared 2 goals with a rating of 6.88

Thomas Lemar scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.88

门将

Matías Dituro plays in goal for Elche with an average rating of 6.2

Espanyol recorded 10 clean sheets this season, while Elche kept 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the RCDE Stadium

In the last 5 matches at this venue, an average of 2.4 goals per match was scored

The BTTS rate at the stadium stands at 60% (3 out of 5 matches)

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