🇪🇸

La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Racing Santander

09/19/2026, 04:30 PM

5 : 0
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.2
Total xG
2.8
Racing Santander
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CDVRS

Celta de Vigo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.84
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.43
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.31
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
-0.08
全员可用

Racing Santander

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.46倍)
+0.59
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.41
排名优势 (第12位 vs 第18位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.55
+0.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

28%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 45% probability for an away win for Racing Santander
  • Drastic threat reduction: Celta de Vigo has only 4% of active goal production available due to crucial absences
  • Offensive discrepancy: Racing Santander scores consistently with 1.8 goals per game, while Celta's recent scoring average dropped to 0.5
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams played only 3 days ago and face a very short recovery window
  • Severe away defense weakness: Racing Santander concedes a worrying average of 5.5 goals per away game
  • Low chance creation: Celta de Vigo averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Celta de Vigo (18th place, 4 points) host Racing Santander (12th place, 7 points) at Estadio de Balaídos

La Liga match on September 19, 2026, 6:30 PM

The home side is desperately searching for their first win of the season

近期状态

Celta de Vigo are winless in their last five matches with a form of LDDDL

Racing Santander show an inconsistent run of LWLWL with two wins

Both teams suffered defeats in their last match

统计数据

Celta de Vigo average 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded

Racing Santander average 1.83 goals scored but struggle with 2.67 goals conceded per game

Away from home Racing conceded 11 goals in just two matches

历史交锋

Only one previous direct encounter on January 5, 2025

Racing Santander won that match at home with a tight 3-2 scoreline

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo key figures are Ferran Jutglà with 1 goal

Miguel Román contributed 1 assist and Hugo González added 2 assists

Racing Santander rely on Yassir Zabiri with 6 goals, Iñigo Vicente with 2 assists and Pablo García with 2 goals

门将

Ionuț Radu of Celta averages a 6.93 rating in goal

He faces Racing's Julen Agirrezabala with a 7.07 rating and 0 clean sheets

Celta de Vigo registered 10 clean sheets overall

影响因素

The game is played on natural grass at Estadio de Balaídos

Stadium statistics show 2.6 average goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches here

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。