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La Liga

Villarreal - Levante

09/20/2026, 04:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Villarreal
1.7
Total xG
3.0
Levante
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
VILLEV

Villarreal

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Gerard Moreno替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Georges Mikautadze替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Nicolas Pépé替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Levante

状态上升 (2.3 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.28
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.51
+0.51
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

26%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

74%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Tactical edge: Villarreal averaged 62.2% possession and 6.4 shots on target in recent matches, dominating gameplay
  • Model prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 47% probability for a home win with 1.74 expected goals for Villarreal
  • Attacking trend: Levante is scoring more frequently in recent games (2.3) compared to their season average (1.4)
风险因素
  • Severe squad depletion: Only 15% of Levante's seasonal goal production is currently available on the pitch
  • Fatigue factor for the hosts: Villarreal has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Fragile away defense: Levante concedes a high average of 1.94 goals per away game
概述

Villarreal hosts Levante at the Estadio de la Cerámica

La Liga match on September 20, 2026, 6:30 PM

A bottom-table clash between 15th and 16th place

Both teams are tied on 5 points and desperately need a win to escape the relegation zone

近期状态

Villarreal form: LLLLW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses

Levante form: LDWDL

1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

Villarreal recently ended a four-match losing streak with a 3-1 away win against Málaga

Levante lost their last match 2-4 against FC Barcelona

统计数据

Villarreal scores an average of 1.89 goals per game while conceding 1.21

At home, Villarreal is particularly dangerous, averaging 1.92 goals per game

Levante concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game while scoring 1.24

历史交锋

Villarreal dominates the head-to-head history with 2 wins from 2 matches

The last meeting ended in a clear 5-1 home victory for Villarreal on May 2, 2026

The total goal ratio in direct duels is 6-1 in favor of the hosts

关键球员

Pape Gueye has contributed 3 goals from midfield with an average rating of 7.27

Alberto Moleiro has registered 1 goal and 1 assist for Villarreal

Roger Brugué shines for Levante with 3 goals in 4 appearances

门将

Péter Gulácsi starts for Villarreal with an average rating of 7.59

Mathew Ryan guards the Levante goal with an average rating of 7.17

The home team has kept 8 clean sheets this season, compared to 9 clean sheets for the visitors

影响因素

An average of 5.0 goals per game has been scored in the last 5 matches at the Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal has had significantly less rest, with only 3 days since their last match compared to Levante's 7 days

Villarreal's strong home goal statistics bolster their stadium advantage

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