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La Liga

Sevilla - FC Barcelona

09/19/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Sevilla
1.4
Total xG
3.1
FC Barcelona
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
SEVFB

Sevilla

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.35
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
42%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.3球)

FC Barcelona

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均5.2球)
+0.74
状态上升 (5.2 vs 2.7 赛季平均)
+0.74
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.45
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.24
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
-0.07
Dani Olmo未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Xavi Espart 未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

26%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Possession dominance: FC Barcelona averaged 8.6 shots on target and 72% possession in recent matches
  • Missing squad options: Dani Olmo (0 goals, 3 assists) and Xavi Espart (1 goal, 2 assists) were not nominated for the starting eleven
  • Superb season performance: FC Barcelona arrives with a perfect record of 6 wins from 6 league games and 28 goals scored
风险因素
  • Sevilla with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
  • FC Barcelona also with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Vulnerability on the road: FC Barcelona conceded an average of 1.73 goals per away game this season
概述

Sevilla (5th place, 13 points) host FC Barcelona (1st place, 18 points) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

La Liga match on September 19, 2026, 9:00 PM

Top-tier clash between the undefeated league leaders and the hosts

近期状态

Sevilla in form WLDWW over the last five matches

The home side recently secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

FC Barcelona arrive with a perfect record of WWWWW

The visitors secured 5 wins in a row

统计数据

Sevilla score an average of 1.21 goals and concede 1.58 goals per game this season

Their home record shows an average of 1.20 scored and 1.25 conceded goals

FC Barcelona shine with 2.50 scored and only 0.95 conceded goals per match

In away matches, the Catalans' offense increases to an average of 2.53 goals scored per game

历史交锋

Lack of balance in the last 5 head-to-head matches

FC Barcelona dominate with 4 wins, while Sevilla only recorded 1 win

The goal ratio stands at 12 to 20 goals against Sevilla

The last encounter on March 15, 2026 ended in a clear 5-2 away win for Barcelona

关键球员

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega with 2 goals this season and Lucien Agoumé with an average rating of 7.06

Juan Iglesias already contributed 1 goal from defence this season

Raphinha impresses with 9 goals and 3 assists this campaign

Lamine Yamal shines with 7 goals and 2 assists, and Fermín López contributed 4 goals so far

门将

Odysseas Vlachodimos starts in goal for Sevilla with an average rating of 6.78

Dominik Livakovic will protect the goal for the visitors in this match

Sevilla recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while FC Barcelona kept a clean sheet 15 times

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.4 goals per game at this stadium

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the recent home matches

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