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La Liga

Valencia - Real Sociedad

09/20/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Valencia
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Real Sociedad
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
VALRS

Valencia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.44
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.26
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.14
100%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

Real Sociedad

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.54
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.33
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.52
+0.52
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

30%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Real Sociedad averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Valencia's 2.2
  • Attack in crisis: Valencia's goal production has stalled with only 0.4 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Head-to-head edge: Valencia won the last direct duel 4:3 and secured 2 victories out of 4 encounters
风险因素
  • Physical fatigue: Real Sociedad enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Valencia injury crisis: A total of 7 players are sidelined, including M. Diakhaby and U. Sadiq Mesbah
  • Squad impact for Real Sociedad: Only 10% of their seasonal goal production is available in the current lineup
概述

Valencia (19th place, 4 points) host Real Sociedad (14th place, 7 points) at Estadio de Mestalla

La Liga match on September 20, 2026, 9:00 PM

A crucial encounter in the lower tier of the standings

近期状态

Valencia enters with a form trend of LLLLW

Recently recording 1 win and 4 losses

Real Sociedad comes with a form curve of WDWLL

The visitors secured 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Valencia averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded this season

In home games their average stands at 1.23 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded

Real Sociedad averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match

The visitors concede an average of 2.14 goals in away games

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Valencia secured 2 wins while Real Sociedad won 1 match alongside 1 draw

Goal record of 6:7 from Valencia's perspective

The last meeting ended with a 4:3 victory for Valencia

关键球员

Guido Rodríguez in midfield has contributed 2 goals with a rating of 7.09

Arnaut Danjuma leads the attack with an average rating of 6.63

Javi Guerra operates in midfield with 1 assist and a 6.65 rating

Luka Sucic leads the visitors with 2 goals and a rating of 7.06

Sergio Gómez stands strong in defence with 1 goal and a 7.02 rating

Job Ochieng impacts the attack with 1 goal and 2 assists alongside a 6.68 rating

门将

Stole Dimitrievski starts in goal for Valencia with a rating of 6.79

The goalkeeper kept 9 clean sheets in 38 matches this season

Álex Remiro guards the net for Real Sociedad with a rating of 7.06

The keeper achieved 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Played on grass at Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia's home strength is shown by 27 goals scored at home compared to 19 away

Historically matches at this stadium average 2.4 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of home matches at Estadio de Mestalla

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