🇪🇸

La Liga

Getafe - Málaga

09/20/2026, 12:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Getafe
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Málaga
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
GETMÁL

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.76
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.55
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.10
全员可用

Málaga

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.63
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.35
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.07
44%进球产出缺失 (仅33%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.54
+0.54
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

31%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Low squad goal threat for Getafe: Only 9% of regular goal production is available through active players
  • Weakened starting XI for Málaga: Only 33% of regular goal production is available through active players
  • Defensive approach: Getafe averaged only 2.6 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
  • Heavy fatigue factor for Getafe with only 3 days since their last match
  • Málaga also faces a short rest window of only 3 days since their last match
  • Limited data quality for head-to-head history due to missing records in the dataset
概述

Getafe host Málaga at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Match on September 20, 2026, 2:00 PM

A relegation battle between 17th and 20th place in La Liga

Getafe has 5 points while Málaga sits at the bottom with 3 points

近期状态

Getafe's form is LLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

With 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, Getafe's goal production is stagnant at a recent average of 0.6 goals

Málaga shows a form of DLDDL with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Málaga's goal production is also slow with a recent average of 0.8 goals

统计数据

Getafe scores 0.84 goals per game on average and concedes 1.00 goals

Málaga has scored 4 goals and conceded 3 in 2 recorded matches

At home, Getafe scores an average of 0.86 goals and concedes 0.76 goals

关键球员

Martín Satriano scored 1 goal in 6 appearances for his side

Ramón Terrats has 1 goal and an average rating of 7.22

Enes Ünal contributed 1 goal in 6 matches

Carlos Dotor scored 1 goal for his side

Rafita Garrido made 6 appearances this season

Alfonso Herrero has a season rating of 6.86

门将

David Soria in Getafe's goal has a rating of 7.11 and 12 clean sheets

Alfonso Herrero in Málaga's goal has a rating of 6.86 and 0 clean sheets

影响因素

Getafe plays on grass at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

The venue averages 2.0 goals per match

The both teams to score rate at this stadium is 60%

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。