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La Liga

Athletic Club - Deportivo Alavés

09/19/2026, 02:15 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Athletic Club
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Deportivo Alavés
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ACDA

Athletic Club

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.19
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

Deportivo Alavés

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.13
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.02
Ángel Pérez替补席 (0球, 3助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.57
+0.57
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

28%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Only 16% of Athletic Club's goal-scoring threat is currently active in the squad
  • Deportivo Alavés recently averaged 4.6 shots on target with 42% possession
  • The mathematical model predicts a 40% home win probability compared to 32% for the visitors
风险因素
  • Limited offensive threat for Athletic Club with only 16% activeGoalsShare
  • Deportivo Alavés shows a vulnerable defense conceding 1.94 goals per away game
  • Ángel Pérez is missing for the visitors leaving only 74% of assists available in the squad
概述

Athletic Club host Deportivo Alavés at San Mamés Barria

La Liga match on September 19, 2026, 4:15 PM

The eighth-placed team faces the sixth-placed team

The home side currently has 7 points, while the visitors have 10 points

近期状态

Athletic Club shows a form curve of LLWWD

Most recently they recorded a 1-1 draw against Elche

Deportivo Alavés has the form DWWLL

The visitors suffered two consecutive defeats recently

统计数据

Athletic Club averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season

Deportivo Alavés averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded

In Athletic's home games, they averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded

Alavés concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Athletic Club won 2, with 1 draw and 1 win for Deportivo Alavés

The last meeting ended in a 4-2 win for Athletic Club

In total, 6 goals were scored for the home team and 4 for the visitors in these matches

关键球员

Robert Navarro has scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 7.15

Iñaki Williams recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 matches

Lucas Boyé is the top scorer for the visitors with 4 goals

门将

Unai Simón plays in goal for Athletic Club with a rating of 7.19

Antonio Sivera guards the Deportivo Alavés goal with an average rating of 7.08

Simón played in 5 games this season, Sivera in 6 matches

影响因素

The match takes place at the San Mamés Barria stadium

In the previous 5 home games, an average of 2.4 goals per match were scored

The model predicts a 60% probability for Both teams to score

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