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Ligue 1

Olympique Lyonnais - Paris

03/08/2026, 07:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Olympique Lyonnais
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Paris
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
OLPAR

Olympique Lyonnais

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
+0.09
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第14位, 相差10位)
+0.08
Pavel Sulc未进大名单 (9球, 3助攻)
Afonso Moreira未进大名单 (2球, 6助攻)
Corentin Tolisso替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Endrick替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Ainsley Maitland-Niles未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Ruben Kluivert未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Noah Nartey替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅39%可用)

Paris

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.72
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第4位, 相差10位)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
Ilan Kebbal未进大名单 (8球, 4助攻)
Maxime Lopez未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Alimami Gory替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a home win for Olympique Lyonnais with 56% probability
  • Olympique Lyonnais is suffering from significant squad issues, with only 40% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Lyon displays a strong home defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals per game at Groupama Stadium
风险因素
  • Paris is also missing key players like Ilan Kebbal (8G/4A), Maxime Lopez (0G/3A), and Alimami Gory (1G/1A), reducing their active goal threat to 66%
  • According to advanced statistics, both teams show a negative form trend in their goal production
概述

Olympique Lyonnais (4th place, 45 points) host Paris (14th place, 26 points) at Groupama Stadium in Ligue 1 on March 8, 2026, 8:45 PM

Lyon aims to solidify its top table position, while Paris is fighting against relegation

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Olympique Lyonnais' form in the last five matches is WWWLL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)

The last two games ended in a loss

Paris' form in the last five matches is DDLDW (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

The last game was won

统计数据

Olympique Lyonnais scores an average of 1.63 goals and concedes 1.08 goals per game across the season

Lyon recorded 12 clean sheets and 11 games with both teams scoring (BTTS)

Paris scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season

Paris had 6 clean sheets and 14 BTTS games

At home, Lyon scores an average of 1.58 goals and concedes only 0.58 goals

Away, Paris scores 1.18 goals and concedes 1.64 goals

Groupama Stadium averages 2.6 goals per game, with 40% BTTS and Over 2.5 matches

历史交锋

In their only head-to-head encounter on October 29, 2025, Olympique Lyonnais and Paris drew 3-3

The head-to-head record is even, with 3 goals scored by each team

关键球员

For Olympique Lyonnais, midfielder Tyler Morton (2 goals, 2 assists, Ø 7.16 rating) is notable

Defenders Moussa Niakhaté (2 assists, Ø 6.98 rating) and Abner (3 goals, Ø 6.76 rating) are also important players

For Paris, defenders Moustapha Mbow (1 assist, Ø 6.92 rating, rising form) and attackers Jonathan Ikoné (1 season goal, 1 goal in last 3 games) and Jean-Philippe Krasso (2 goals, 2 assists) are key

门将

Dominik Greif is the goalkeeper for Olympique Lyonnais (1 assist, Ø 6.94 rating in 20 appearances)

Lyon has 12 clean sheets this season

Kevin Trapp is the goalkeeper for Paris (Ø 6.89 rating in 13 appearances)

Paris achieved 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Olympique Lyonnais has a home advantage with only 0.58 average goals conceded and 1.58 goals scored per home game

Groupama Stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

Paris concedes an average of 1.64 goals per away game

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