Lens (2nd place, 53 points) host Metz (18th place, 13 points) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The Ligue 1 match takes place on March 8, 2026, 3:00 PM. Lens are fighting for the top spot, while Metz are battling against relegation. The mathematical analysis clearly favors Lens with a 69% probability of winning, with an expected 2.01 home goals compared to 0.61 for Metz.

Lens shows a form of WWWLD, which corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last result was a draw. Metz's away form is LDLLL, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Metz has suffered three consecutive losses recently. Lens scored 12 goals and conceded 5 in their last five games, while Metz scored 1 goal and conceded 8.

Lens averages 1.88 goals scored per game and concedes 0.88 goals. They kept 9 clean sheets and had 15 games with over 2.5 goals. At home, they average 1.92 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. Metz averages 0.92 goals scored and concedes 2.21 goals per game. They had 4 clean sheets and 14 games with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Metz concedes an average of 2.62 goals. At Stade Bollaert-Delelis, the last 5 games averaged 2.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 games.

In 5 head-to-head matches, Lens recorded 1 win, Metz 3 wins, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference is 5:6 in favor of Metz. The last encounter on October 29, 2025, saw Metz defeat Lens 2:0. Metz has dominated recent encounters.

For Lens, Odsonne Édouard with 9 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 6.88 is an important offensive player, his form is stable. Florian Thauvin, also in attack, contributed 7 goals and 3 assists and shows stable form with a rating of 7.24. In midfield, Adrien Thomasson with 2 goals and 7 assists, a stable form, and a rating of 7.18 is crucial. For Metz, Gauthier Hein (6 goals, 4 assists) and Habib Diallo (4 goals, 1 assist) are the most dangerous goal scorers, with Gauthier Hein showing a declining form trend. Defender Sadibou Sané has scored 2 goals and shows a rising form trend.

Lens' goalkeeper, Robin Risser, has kept 9 clean sheets in 24 appearances this season. For Metz, Jonathan Fischer also appeared in 24 games and achieved 4 clean sheets.

Lens shows strong home performance with an average of 1.92 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per game. Metz, on the other hand, has conceded an average of 2.62 goals away from home. History at Stade Bollaert-Delelis shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of the last 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 40% of games.