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Super League

St. Gallen - Zürich

07/26/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
St. Gallen
2.5
Total xG
3.5
Zürich
1.0
最可能的比分

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

1:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

8%
xG 分解
SGZÜR

St. Gallen

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.55倍)
+2.33
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.7球)
+0.63
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.10
Alessandro Vogt未进大名单 (15球, 3助攻)
Carlo Boukhalfa替补席 (12球, 3助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

Zürich

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.81
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.22
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Cheveyo Tsawa未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Ivan Cavaleiro未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Juan José Perea未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Nelson Palacio未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Alexander Hack替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

69%

平局

19%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

31%

非平局

81%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Mathematical home win probability of 69% backed by St. Gallen's strong home record (1.94 goals per game)
  • St. Gallen averaged 6.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Zürich's defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per away game
风险因素
  • St. Gallen with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • St. Gallen's goal production has stalled recently (1.6) compared to their season average (2.0)
  • Absence of key offensive players such as Alessandro Vogt (15 goals) and Carlo Boukhalfa (12 goals)
概述

St. Gallen host Zürich at Kybunpark

Super League match on July 26, 2026, 4:30 PM

Home team favored with 69% win probability according to mathematical model

近期状态

St. Gallen form: LWWDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

Zürich form: LDWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Goal production of both teams stalled recently

统计数据

St. Gallen averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded

Zürich averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded

St. Gallen scores an average of 1.94 goals at home

Zürich concedes an average of 2.25 goals away from home

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches

3 wins for St. Gallen, 2 wins for Zürich

Goal difference balanced at 9:9

Last match ended 2-1 for St. Gallen

关键球员

Lukas Görtler: 9 goals, 8 assists, rating 7.32

Aliou Baldé: 11 goals, rating 6.88

Chima Okoroji: 3 goals, 3 assists, rating 6.92

Philippe Paulin Keny: 13 goals, 4 assists, rating 7.02

Ilan Sauter: 2 goals, rating 6.74

Umeh Emmanuel: 2 goals, 4 assists, rating 6.57

Not selected: Alessandro Vogt (15 goals, 3 assists), Carlo Boukhalfa (12 goals, 3 assists)

Not selected: Cheveyo Tsawa (2 goals, 2 assists), Ivan Cavaleiro (3 goals, 1 assist), Juan José Perea (2 goals), Nelson Palacio (2 assists), Alexander Hack (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi: 35 games, 8 clean sheets

Heinz Lindner is in goal for the opponent

影响因素

Grass surface at Kybunpark

Avg. 3.2 goals per game in venue history

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

St. Gallen's home advantage supported by statistics

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