Super League
Servette - Basel
07/25/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.6
1.0
2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%4:0
5%4:1
5%xG 分解
Servette
Basel
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
71%
平局
18%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
29%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Clear advantage according to mathematical analysis: The model calculates a 71% home win probability and 2.59 expected goals for Servette
- Strong offensive tactics: Servette averaged 7.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Diverging form trends: Servette are scoring more recently (2.8 goals) compared to their season average (1.8), while Basel's attack has stalled (0.8 recently)
风险因素
- Defensive weakness of the visitors: Basel conceded an average of 2.06 goals per away game this season
- Historical record favors Basel: The visitors managed to win 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Servette
概述
Servette host Basel at the Stade de Genève
Super League match on July 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
Both teams start the season level on points in the standings
The hosts enter this match as clear favorites according to mathematical predictions
近期状态
Servette are in strong form with WWDWW in recent matches
The hosts recorded 4 wins and 1 draw from their last five games
Basel travel with a form of LWLLL, suffering 4 losses in their last five matches
Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Servette scored an average of 1.87 goals and conceded 1.66 goals per game this season
Basel averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per match
Basel are particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.06 goals per away game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3 times, with 1 draw and 1 win for Servette
The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Basel on March 15, 2026
Servette scored 5 goals while Basel scored 13 goals across these direct duels
关键球员
Miroslav Stevanovic shines in Servette's midfield with 14 goals and 7 assists, holding a 7.32 rating
Florian Ayé contributes 11 goals and 2 assists in the hosts' attack
Lilian Njoh strengthens Servette's defense with 1 goal, 9 assists, and a 7.00 rating
Xherdan Shaqiri leads Basel's midfield with 11 goals and 10 assists, holding a 7.31 rating
Philip Otele scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists in Basel's attack
Metinho stabilizes the visitors' midfield with 3 goals and a 7.04 rating
门将
L. Besson starts in goal for Servette as J. Frick is sidelined with a back injury
Mirko Salvi guards the goal for Basel, with 5 appearances and a 6.58 rating this season
Both teams kept 9 clean sheets during the season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Stade de Genève
Matches at this venue historically average 4.2 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of matches at the Stade de Genève