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Super League

Thun - Young Boys

08/01/2026, 06:30 PM

0 : 6
预期进球
Thun
2.0
Total xG
4.5
Young Boys
2.6
最可能的比分

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

1:3

6%

2:3

6%

2:1

5%
xG 分解
THUYB

Thun

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.63
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.04
Valmir Matoshi替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Michael Heule替补席 (2球, 7助攻)
Fabio Fehr替补席 (2球, 7助攻)
Marco Bürki未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
62%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

Young Boys

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
+1.62
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.45
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.45
Alan Virginius未进大名单 (6球, 9助攻)
Sandro Lauper替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Dominik Pech替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Yan Valery未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

20%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

95%

Under 1.5

5%

Over 2.5

83%

Under 2.5

17%

Over 3.5

66%

Under 3.5

34%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

80%

双方进球

80%

20%

关键因素
  • Only 40% of Thun's goal danger is available due to the absence of Valmir Matoshi, Michael Heule, Fabio Fehr, and Marco Bürki
  • Young Boys averaged 7.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Thun's 4.2
  • Young Boys show a positive trend, averaging 3.6 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 2.1
风险因素
  • Young Boys conceded an average of 2.44 goals per away game this season
  • Young Boys are missing Alan Virginius, leaving only 75% of their typical lineup strength active
  • Thun's defensive choices are limited due to the injuries of Michael Heule and Marco Bürki
概述

Thun (2nd place, 3 points) host Young Boys (1st place, 3 points) at the Stockhorn Arena

Super League match on August 1, 2026, 8:30 PM

A clash between two top-placed teams after the opening matchday

近期状态

Thun's form is LDDWL with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their summary

Young Boys show a form of LWWDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Young Boys won their last match, while Thun comes off a defeat

统计数据

Thun scored 80 goals (avg 2.11) and conceded 52 (avg 1.37) in 38 season games

Young Boys also scored 80 goals (avg 2.11) but conceded 69 (avg 1.82)

Young Boys conceded an average of 2.44 goals per away game this season

历史交锋

The direct head-to-head record over 4 matches is balanced with 2 wins for each team

The last meeting on May 14, 2026 ended in a spectacular 8:3 away win for Young Boys

A total of 25 goals have been scored in these 4 direct encounters

关键球员

Nils Reichmuth scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists in 32 appearances with a 6.86 rating

Alvyn Sanches recorded 10 goals and 6 assists in 28 matches

Samuel Essende scored 6 goals in his last 5 games with a 7.54 rating

门将

Thun's Niklas Steffen has 6 clean sheets this season in 36 appearances

Young Boys' Marvin Keller recorded 8 clean sheets this season in 38 matches

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at the Stockhorn Arena

Thun has a home surface record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on artificial turf

Venue stats show an average of 4.8 goals per game with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches

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