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Super League

Sion - Luzern

08/02/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Sion
2.1
Total xG
3.3
Luzern
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
SIOLUZ

Sion

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+1.03
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.11
Josias Lukembila替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Franck Surdez替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Luzern

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.05
Andrej Vasovic未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Adrian Bajrami未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Bung Meng Freimann未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

23%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

77%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 57% and expects 2.09 goals for Sion
  • Sion averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches, while Luzern averaged 6.0
  • Sion shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (1.89)
风险因素
  • Sion has a clear rest disadvantage with only 3 days since their last match compared to Luzern's 8 days
  • Sion recently conceded an average of 2.0 goals, which is higher than their season average of 1.22
  • Luzern will be without Andrej Vasovic, Adrian Bajrami, and Bung Meng Freimann, leaving them with only 88% of their usual starting strength
概述

Sion (11th place, 0 points) host Luzern (12th place, 0 points) at the Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on August 2, 2026, 4:30 PM

Both teams started the season with a defeat and seek their first points

近期状态

Sion's form is DDDLW with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

Luzern's form is WDWWL with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Sion won their last match 4-0 against BATE while Luzern lost 1-3 to Thun

统计数据

Last season Sion scored avg 1.66 goals and conceded avg 1.05 goals

Luzern scored avg 2.00 goals per game and conceded avg 1.74 goals

Sion kept 15 clean sheets while Luzern kept only 7 in 38 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, both Sion and Luzern have 1 win, with 3 draws

The goal difference is 9-8 in favor of Sion

The last meeting on February 7, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw

关键球员

Rilind Nivokazi scored 13 goals and provided 5 assists in 37 matches

Ilyas Chouaref contributed 9 goals and 8 assists in 38 season appearances

Matteo Di Giusto stood out for the visitors with 12 goals and 12 assists in 38 matches

Oscar Kabwit scored 11 goals in only 17 season games

门将

Anthony Racioppi starts in goal for Sion, holding a season rating of 7.10

Simon Simoni takes the goalkeeper position for the away side Luzern

Sion recorded 15 clean sheets last season compared to Luzern's 7

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Stade de Tourbillon

Sion conceded only 14 goals in 17 home matches last season

The historical venue statistics show an average of 3.0 goals per game

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