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Super League

Basel - Lausanne Sport

08/01/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Basel
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Lausanne Sport
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BASLS

Basel

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.06
Bénie Traoré未进大名单 (9球, 3助攻)
Dominik Schmid未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Julien Duranville未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Andrej Bacanin未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Léo Leroy替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Giacomo Koloto未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

Lausanne Sport

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.79
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.22
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.5球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

75%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Basel's home strength meets the defensive away weakness of Lausanne Sport, who concede an average of 2.43 goals on the road
  • Tactical balance: Basel averaged 4.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Model prediction: Mathematical calculations estimate a home win probability of 59%
风险因素
  • Offensive form dip: Basel's goal production has slowed down, averaging 1.0 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Away defensive vulnerability: Lausanne Sport conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in recent matches
概述

Basel (5th place, 3 points) host Lausanne Sport (6th place, 1 point) at St. Jakob-Park

Super League match on August 1, 2026, 6:00 PM

Basel aim to build on their opening win while Lausanne seek their first victory of the season

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 59%

近期状态

Basel started with a win (WLLLW)

Most recently they secured a 1-0 win against Servette

Lausanne Sport are still waiting for a win (LLLLD)

Most recently they played out a 1-1 draw against Grasshopper

统计数据

Basel score an average of 1.45 goals per game this season

Lausanne Sport concede an average of 2.43 goals per away game

Basel's home record shows 1.45 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match

Both teams scored in 23 of Basel's 38 games

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in the database

Basel lead the record with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Basel

In total these matches produced 9 goals for Basel and 10 for Lausanne Sport

关键球员

Xherdan Shaqiri scored 11 goals and provided 10 assists this season

Philip Otele contributed 5 goals and 4 assists so far

Omar Janneh is the most dangerous attacker for the visitors with 8 goals and 1 assist

Not nominated for Basel: Bénie Traoré, Dominik Schmid, Julien Duranville, Andrej Bacanin, Léo Leroy, Giacomo Koloto

门将

Jonas Omlin guards the goal for Basel, who kept 9 clean sheets this season

M. Mastil is in goal for Lausanne Sport, who kept 6 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at St. Jakob-Park

Stadium statistics show an average of 4.6 goals per game at this venue

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 historical matches at this stadium

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