🇨🇭

Super League

Grasshopper - Lugano

08/02/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Grasshopper
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Lugano
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

10%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
GRALUG

Grasshopper

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Jonathan Asp Jensen未进大名单 (8球, 7助攻)
Dirk Abels未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

Lugano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.65
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.33
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.06
Kevin Behrens替补席 (13球, 2助攻)
Yanis Cimignani替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

30%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Offensive surge: Lugano is currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (1.7)
  • Tactical pressure: Lugano averaged 7.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Model favorite: Mathematical predictions show a 46% win probability for Lugano
风险因素
  • Defensive fragility of the hosts, conceding 1.62 goals per home match on average
  • Low offensive output: Grasshopper averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited availability of weather data
概述

Grasshopper hosts Lugano at the Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on August 2, 2026, 4:30 PM

Lugano enters as 3rd in the standings with 3 points, while Grasshopper occupies 8th place with 1 point

近期状态

Grasshopper holds a form of LLWWD with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Lugano is in excellent shape with a DWWWW form, including 4 wins and 1 draw

The visitors travel with a consecutive run of four wins

统计数据

Grasshopper scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.95 goals per match on average last season

Lugano recorded 1.55 goals and conceded only 1.11 goals per game in their campaign

Lugano averaged 1.47 goals conceded in away games, while Grasshopper scored 1.24 at home

历史交锋

Even historical record with 1 win for each side and 3 draws in 5 matches

The goal difference in these direct encounters is balanced at 5:5 goals

The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home victory for Grasshopper

关键球员

Luke Plange is dangerous with 9 goals and 4 assists from last season

Daniel Dos Santos shines with 4 goals and 10 assists for Lugano

Renato Steffen contributed 8 goals and 3 assists

Not nominated: Jonathan Asp Jensen (8G/7A), Dirk Abels (3G/1A) for the hosts, and Kevin Behrens (13G/2A), Yanis Cimignani (3G/1A) for the visitors

门将

Justin Hammel made 37 appearances with 2 home clean sheets last season

David von Ballmoos played 15 matches and secured 6 clean sheets in away fixtures

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at the Stadion Letzigrund

Venue history shows 3.0 goals per game and a BTTS rate of 60%

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。