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Super League

Lugano - Zürich

08/09/2026, 12:00 PM

5 : 0
预期进球
Lugano
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Zürich
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
LUGZÜR

Lugano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.41
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.36
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.31
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.31
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Daniel Dos Santos替补席 (4球, 10助攻)
Pablo Acebal替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Zürich

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Ivan Cavaleiro未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Juan José Perea替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Nelson Palacio未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+1.00
+1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

31%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Lugano currently scores more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average (1.8), while Zürich's goal production has stalled (1.0 goals)
  • Lugano averaged 7.4 shots on target with 62% possession in recent matches
  • Lugano dominated recent duels with 4 wins from 5 matches and has a 74% chance of a home win or draw according to the model
风险因素
  • Lugano has a shorter recovery time with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Zürich concedes a high average of 2.25 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Lugano host Zürich

Super League match on August 9, 2026, 2:00 PM

Lugano sits in 2nd place with 6 points

Zürich is in 6th place with 3 points

An important clash in the upper part of the table

近期状态

Lugano is in outstanding shape with a form of WWWWW

The hosts achieved 5 consecutive wins

Zürich shows inconsistent form with WLLLW

The visitors recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Lugano scores an average of 1.55 goals per game this season and concedes 1.11 goals

At home, Lugano is defensively stable, conceding only 0.87 goals per match

Zürich scores an average of 1.29 goals per game but concedes 1.89 goals

The visitors' defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding 2.25 goals on average

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 4 wins for Lugano and 1 win for Zürich

No draws were recorded during this period

The last encounter ended with a 1-0 victory for Lugano on April 11, 2026

The goal difference stands at 7-4 in favor of Lugano

关键球员

Kevin Behrens scored 13 goals this season and holds an average rating of 7.05

Yanis Cimignani scored twice in recent matches and has a rating of 6.91

Anto Grgic already provided 6 assists and reaches a rating of 7.25

Philippe Paulin Keny is a key contributor with 13 goals and 4 assists

Bledian Krasniqi contributed 6 assists and shows a rating of 6.66

Umeh Emmanuel scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists with a rating of 6.57

Not nominated for Lugano: Daniel Dos Santos (4 goals, 10 assists) and Pablo Acebal (1 goal, 3 assists)

Not nominated for Zürich: Ivan Cavaleiro (3 goals, 1 assist), Juan José Perea (2 goals, 0 assists) and Nelson Palacio (0 goals, 2 assists)

门将

David von Ballmoos guards the goal for Lugano with an average rating of 7.17

Heinz Lindner is the goalkeeper for Zürich

Lugano has kept 12 clean sheets this season

Zürich has achieved only 2 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadio di Cornaredo

An average of 2.6 goals per game were scored recently at this stadium

At home, Lugano scored 36 goals and conceded 20

Zürich has already conceded 36 goals in away games

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