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Super League

St. Gallen - Luzern

08/09/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
St. Gallen
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Luzern
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SGLUZ

St. Gallen

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.18
Carlo Boukhalfa未进大名单 (12球, 3助攻)
Tom Gaal未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)

Luzern

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-1.01
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
Tyron Owusu未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Andrej Vasovic未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Adrian Bajrami未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+1.00
+1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

26%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

74%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Clear difference in form: St. Gallen won four of their last five competitive matches, while Luzern started the season with two consecutive losses
  • Strong offensive output: St. Gallen proved highly dangerous recently, averaging 5.2 shots on target per game
  • High probability rating: The mathematical analysis estimates a home win for St. Gallen at 50%
风险因素
  • Heavy schedule: St. Gallen has only 3 days of rest since their last match, while Luzern has a clear advantage with 7 days of recovery
  • Historic struggles: St. Gallen failed to win any of the last five head-to-head encounters against Luzern
  • Suspended regular starters: Luzern will miss key defensive and midfield elements Tyron Owusu and Bung Hua Freimann due to red card suspensions
概述

St. Gallen host Luzern at the Kybunpark

Super League match on August 9, 2026, 4:30 PM

St. Gallen currently sit in 3rd place with 6 points

Luzern are at the bottom of the table in 12th place with 0 points

St. Gallen enter the match as favorites

近期状态

St. Gallen show strong form with the string WWLWW

Most recently, they secured a 3-1 win against Sheriff

Luzern are struggling with the form DWWLL and two consecutive losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Gallen score an average of 1.89 goals per season match

In home games, St. Gallen's scoring average rises to 1.94 goals

Luzern score an average of 2.00 goals per game

Luzern's defense concedes an average of 1.65 goals in away matches

历史交锋

Luzern has been historically dominant in the last 5 head-to-head matches

Luzern achieved 2 wins while St. Gallen could not win a single game

There were also 3 draws between the sides

The last direct encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on April 12, 2026

关键球员

Lukas Görtler shines in midfield with 9 goals and 8 assists this season

Aliou Baldé poses a major threat upfront with 11 season goals

Matteo Di Giusto leads Luzern with an outstanding 12 goals and 12 assists

Oscar Kabwit is another key asset with 11 goals and 5 assists

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi played 35 times for St. Gallen this season, keeping 8 clean sheets

Simon Simoni guards the net for Luzern, who recorded 7 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

St. Gallen play on natural grass at the Kybunpark

St. Gallen's home record shows a solid output of 1.94 goals scored per home game

At the Kybunpark, matches have recently averaged 3.2 goals per game

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