Super League
Basel - Thun
08/09/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.1
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%xG 分解
Basel
Thun
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
24%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Only 15% of goal threat available, without Xherdan Shaqiri, Nicolas Vouilloz, Metinho, Julien Duranville
- Basel averaged only 3.6 shots on target in recent matches
- Mathematical advantage with a 56% home win probability and 1.97 expected goals for Basel
风险因素
- Valmir Matoshi, Michael Heule, Brighton Labeau, Justin Roth missing, only 63% of goal threat available
- Thun with only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述
Basel hosts Thun at the St. Jakob-Park
Super League match on August 9, 2026, 4:30 PM
Basel sits in 7th place with 3 points, Thun follows in 9th place with 3 points
The model predicts a home win probability of 56%
近期状态
Basel has a form of LLLWL with 1 win and 4 losses in recent matches
Thun's form stands at DWLLW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Basel's goal production is stalling at 0.4 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4
Thun's goal-scoring is also slightly below their season average, down from 2.1 to 1.8 in recent games
统计数据
Basel scores an average of 1.45 goals and concedes 1.53 goals per game this season
Thun features a strong offense with an average of 2.11 goals scored while conceding 1.37 goals per game
Basel is defensively more stable at the St. Jakob-Park, conceding an average of 1.05 goals at home
Thun scores an average of 2.06 goals per away game while conceding 1.35 goals
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in history
Both teams have won 2 matches each
There has been no draw between the two teams so far
The last meeting ended in a 3:1 home victory for Basel
关键球员
Keigo Tsunemoto has recorded 1 goal and 1 assist this season with an average rating of 6.92
Léo Leroy stands at 1 goal and 1 assist this term with a rating of 6.88
Flavius Daniliuc has scored 2 goals so far this season with an average rating of 7.00
Fabio Fehr contributed 2 goals and 7 assists this season with a rating of 6.97
Nils Reichmuth shines this term with 4 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.86
Jan Bamert has 1 goal and 1 assist this season with an average rating of 6.97
门将
Mirko Salvi has an average rating of 6.58 in 5 appearances this season
Basel has achieved 9 clean sheets this season, including 5 in their home stadium
Niklas Steffen has 36 appearances with a rating of 6.89
Thun has recorded 6 clean sheets in total this season, with 4 of them coming in away matches
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the St. Jakob-Park
In this stadium, recent matches have averaged 3.4 goals per game
The rates for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score historically stand at 60% in this venue