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Super League

Young Boys - Vaduz

08/23/2026, 12:00 PM

4 : 2
预期进球
Young Boys
2.0
Total xG
3.3
Vaduz
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

7%

3:1

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
YBVAD

Young Boys

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均4.6球)
+0.73
状态上升 (4.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.73
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.17
Edimilson Fernandes未进大名单 (2球, 7助攻)
Jaouen Hadjam替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Sandro Lauper替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)

Vaduz

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.12
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.03
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.6球)
+1.15
+1.15
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

24%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

76%

双方进球

是

65%

否

35%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Young Boys averaged 9.4 shots on target and 20.8 total shots in recent matches
  • Strong offensive trend: Young Boys scored an average of 4.6 goals in recent games, significantly higher than their season average of 2.2
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 53% probability of a home win and predicts 2.02 expected goals for the hosts
风险因素
  • Edimilson Fernandes, Jaouen Hadjam, and Sandro Lauper are missing, leaving only 67% of the usual starting lineup strength available
  • Limited data availability for historical head-to-head matches
概述

Young Boys (3rd place, 7 points) host bottom-of-the-table Vaduz (12th place, 0 points) at the Stadion Wankdorf

Super League match on August 23, 2026, 2:00 PM

The hosts enter as clear favorites against the visitors who are yet to score a point

近期状态

Young Boys are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (Form: WDWWD)

Vaduz travel with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses (Form: WLLLD)

The home side shows a stable and positive trend

统计数据

Young Boys score an average of 2.11 goals per game and concede 1.82

Vaduz average 2.25 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

At home, Young Boys score an average of 2.15 goals and concede 1.25

关键球员

Samuel Essende is in outstanding form with 8 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances

Alvyn Sanches has contributed 10 goals and 6 assists this season with a 7.42 rating

Dominik Pech has recently scored 2 goals in 5 games

门将

Marvin Keller plays in goal for Young Boys, keeping 8 clean sheets this season

Leon Schaffran starts for Vaduz, whose team has kept 2 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Stadion Wankdorf is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.0 goals per match

The both teams to score rate at this venue stands at a high 80%

Young Boys benefit from home advantage with only 1.25 goals conceded per game on average

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