Super League
Lugano - St. Gallen
09/16/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.3
1.6
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
Lugano
St. Gallen
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
26%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- League leadership and strong form: Lugano is the unbeaten league leader with a form of DWWWD, whereas St. Gallen lost four of their last five matches
- Tactical offensive presence: St. Gallen averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Mathematical goal prediction: The model calculates an 85% probability for a match with at least two goals (Over 1.5)
风险因素
- Historical disadvantage: Lugano has been waiting for a win against St. Gallen for 5 head-to-head matches
- Squad limitations: Lugano is missing K. Behrens, Dereck Moncada, and Renato Steffen due to injuries or non-nomination
- Midfield absence: St. Gallen has to play without the injured midfielder L. Görtler
概述
Lugano (1st place, 19 points) host St. Gallen (5th place, 10 points) at the Stadio di Cornaredo
Super League match on September 16, 2026, 7:00 PM
Top of the table meets midfield in direct confrontation
近期状态
Lugano remains unbeaten in five matches with a form of DWWWD
The home side collected three wins and two draws during this run
St. Gallen travels with a form of LLLWL
The visitors lost four of their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lugano scored an average of 1.55 goals per game this season
The home defensive record shines with only 0.87 goals conceded per match
St. Gallen averages 1.89 goals per game in the league
Away from home, the visitors conceded only 24 goals in 21 matches, averaging 1.14
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches recently
St. Gallen leads the statistics with 3 wins and 2 draws
Lugano is yet to win a direct encounter in this timeframe
The last match ended in a 2-1 away victory for St. Gallen on May 10, 2026
关键球员
Anto Grgic recorded 4 assists this season and holds a 7.65 rating
Yanis Cimignani already scored 3 goals in 7 appearances
Aliou Baldé contributed 2 goals and one assist with a 7.19 rating
门将
Felix Gebhardt starts in goal for Lugano
Lawrence Ati Zigi guards the net for St. Gallen with a rating of 6.86
The home side kept 12 clean sheets this season, while the visitors recorded 8
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Stadio di Cornaredo
An average of 3.0 goals were scored in past home matches here
The rate of matches ending with over 2.5 goals is 60% at this venue
Both teams scored in 40% of the games at this location