Super League
St. Gallen - Thun
08/30/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.8
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%xG 分解
St. Gallen
Thun
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
19%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
52%
Under 3.5
48%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Mathematical dominance: The prediction model calculates a 65% home win probability and 2.54 expected goals for St. Gallen
- Tactical superiority: St. Gallen recently dominated possession with 57% ball possession and averaged 7.8 shots on target per match
- Opponent's defensive instability: Thun's form trend is negative, having conceded an average of 3.2 goals in recent matches
风险因素
- High workload: Both teams enter the match with a short recovery period of only 3 days of rest since their last competitive fixture
- Squad depletion for Thun: Key players Valmir Matoshi (6 goals, 4 assists) and Michael Heule (2 goals, 7 assists) are missing from the lineup
概述
St. Gallen (4th place, 7 points) host Thun (10th place, 3 points) at Kybunpark
Super League match on August 30, 2026, 4:30 PM
Matchup with a clear favorite role for the home team
近期状态
St. Gallen holds a current form of WDWLL
Recently recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Thun enters the match with a form of WLLLD
1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses show a downward trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
St. Gallen averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game
At home their average goals scored rises to 1.94
Thun scores an average of 2.11 goals while conceding 1.37 per match
Away from home Thun averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
历史交锋
Balanced historical record from 4 head-to-head matches
Both St. Gallen and Thun registered 1 win each along with 2 draws
Goal ratio stands at 6:5 in favor of St. Gallen
The last direct encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on May 17, 2026
关键球员
Lukas Görtler has 9 goals and 8 assists, while Aliou Baldé contributed 11 goals this season
Christian Witzig registered 4 goals and 4 assists so far
Fabio Fehr recorded 2 goals and 7 assists
Nils Reichmuth has 4 goals, and Brighton Labeau is on 3 goals and 4 assists
Valmir Matoshi and Michael Heule are not nominated
门将
Lawrence Ati Zigi plays in goal for St. Gallen with a season rating of 7.00
Niklas Steffen guards the goal for Thun with an average rating of 6.89
Zigi kept 8 clean sheets this season, while Steffen managed 6 clean sheets
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Kybunpark
Historical stadium statistics show high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals
Both teams scored with over 2.5 goals in all 5 analyzed home matches