比赛报告 →
Sion – Lugano1 : 2
模型为何这样判断
Sion
1.74
总 xG
3.08
Lugano
1.34
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Sion | Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.8球) | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍) | −0.65 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | −0.64 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2球) | −0.63 | |
| 最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球) | +0.17 | |
| 状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均) | +0.17 | |
| 最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球) | +0.13 | |
| 状态上升 (2.4 vs 2 赛季平均) | +0.13 | |
| Rilind Nivokazi替补席 (13球, 5助攻) | ||
| Ilyas Chouaref替补席 (9球, 8助攻) | ||
| Nias Hefti替补席 (0球, 6助攻) | ||
| Franck Surdez替补席 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| 42%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用) | ||
| Kevin Behrens未进大名单 (13球, 2助攻) | ||
| Renato Steffen替补席 (8球, 3助攻) | ||
| Uran Bislimi替补席 (5球, 3助攻) | ||
| 55%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球) |
关键因素
- Only 52% of the goal threat is available, without Rilind Nivokazi, Ilyas Chouaref, Nias Hefti, and Franck Surdez
- Lugano averaged 6.0 shots on target with 55% possession in recent matches
- Lugano enters undefeated with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches while Sion suffered two consecutive losses
风险
- Kevin Behrens, Renato Steffen, and Uran Bislimi are missing, only 59% of the goal threat is available
- Sion and Lugano enter the game with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Sion's defense has been highly vulnerable recently, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game in their past matches
全部概率
赛果
Sion46%
平局26%
Lugano28%
进球
大于 1.583%
小于 1.517%
大于 2.559%
小于 2.541%
大于 3.537%
小于 3.563%
双重机会
Sion或平局72%
Lugano或平局54%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是62%
否38%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:1
9%
1:2
7%
2:0
7%
2:2
6%
首发阵容
Sion 4-1-4-1 · Lugano 3-1-4-2
Sion
- 1 A. Racioppi
- 14 N. Lavanchy
- 5 N. Sow
- 17 J. Kronig
- 6 M. Cipriano
- 88 A. Kabacalman
- 29 T. Berdayes
- 37 F. Sylla
- 8 B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
- 77 D. Rrudhani
- 13 W. Boteli
Lugano
- 16 D. von Ballmoos
- 6 A. Papadopoulos
- 17 L. Mai
- 18 J. Bichsel
- 8 A. Grgic
- 46 M. Zanotti
- 14 A. Kendouci
- 27 D. dos Santos Correia
- 21 Y. Cimignani
- 30 D. Moncada
- 24 E. Pihlström
替补
- 9 J. Lukembila
- 7 I. Chouaref
- 12 F. Ruberto
- 20 N. Hefti
- 10 B. Kololli
- 21 L. Chipperfield
- 33 R. Nivokazi
- 19 F. Surdez
- 38 R. Kessler
- 4 D. Kelvin
- 11 R. Steffen
- 25 U. Bislimi
- 3 H. Delcroix
- 44 J. Schlickmann Carbone
- 2 B. Karimov
- 23 G. Ajdin
- 22 B. Castro Espinosa
- 28 F. Gebhardt
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