比赛报告 →
Young Boys – Basel3 : 3
模型为何这样判断
Young Boys
2.27
总 xG
3.83
Basel
1.57
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Young Boys | Basel |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.8球) | +1.26 | +1.26 |
| 最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.8球) | +0.48 | |
| 状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均) | +0.48 | |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍) | +0.38 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | −0.02 | |
| Jaouen Hadjam未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻) | ||
| 58%进球产出缺失 (仅28%可用) |
关键因素
- Offensive power: Young Boys average 3.8 goals in recent matches, well above their season average
- Severely depleted attack: Basel's starting XI holds only 29% of its usual offensive strength
- Tactical dominance: Young Boys averaged 9.0 shots on target per match in recent games
风险
- Goalkeeper absent: Basel's starting keeper J. Omlin is sidelined with thigh problems
- Away struggles: Basel concede an average of 2.06 goals per away match
- Squad omission: Jaouen Hadjam is missing for Young Boys (2 goals, 4 assists)
全部概率
赛果
Young Boys52%
平局22%
Basel25%
进球
大于 1.591%
小于 1.59%
大于 2.574%
小于 2.526%
大于 3.553%
小于 3.547%
双重机会
Young Boys或平局75%
Basel或平局48%
非平局78%
双方均进球
是72%
否28%
最可能的比分
2:1
9%
2:2
7%
3:1
7%
1:2
6%
3:2
5%
3:3
最终比分
首发阵容
Young Boys 4-4-1-1 · Basel 4-3-3
Young Boys
- 1 M. Keller
- 27 L. Blum
- 30 S. Lauper
- 23 L. Benito
- 33 S. Bukinac
- 16 C. Fassnacht
- 8 A. Gigovic
- 6 E. Fernandes
- 11 J. Monteiro
- 10 A. Antonio Sanches
- 99 S. Essende
Basel
- 13 M. Salvi
- 6 K. Tsunemoto
- 24 F. Daniliuc
- 55 A. Victory Maduabuchukwu
- 29 M. Cisse
- 5 A. Silu
- 4 B. Omeragic
- 8 L. Malachowski Thorell
- 18 A. Sow
- 9 Ž. Celar
- 11 K. Olaigbe
替补
- 22 I. Schmidt
- 18 J. Mall
- 13 D. Pech
- 7 A. Virginius
- 17 S. Janko
- 5 G. Wüthrich
- 9 M. Sene
- 34 E. Etoski
- 52 N. Tschanz
- 10 X. Shaqiri
- 3 N. Vouilloz
- 14 A. Bačanin
- 27 K. Rüegg
- 7 P. Otele
- 17 A. Malouda
- 44 J. Harder
- 37 G. Koloto
- 49 R. Widmer D’Autilia
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