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Super League

Luzern - Vaduz

09/02/2026, 06:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Luzern
1.8
Total xG
3.6
Vaduz
1.8
最可能的比分

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
LUZVAD

Luzern

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.62
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均2.1球)
-0.32
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.28

Vaduz

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.47
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.08
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.1球)
+1.61
+1.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

24%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

76%

双方进球

71%

29%

关键因素
  • Vaduz averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches, showing a strong offensive approach
  • Glaring defensive weakness of the visitors, conceding an average of 4.5 goals per away match this season
  • High scoring expectation with the model predicting a 70% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Luzern's goal production is stuttering, averaging only 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.93
  • Vaduz has a shorter recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data available on head-to-head matches
概述

Luzern hosts Vaduz at the swissporarena

Super League match on September 2, 2026, 8:30 PM

A bottom-table clash between 9th and 11th place

Only two points separate the two sides

近期状态

Luzern form: LLDWD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Vaduz form: LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

Luzern is stabilizing with a recent win and a draw

Vaduz travels with momentum after a recent 5-2 victory against Grasshoppers

统计数据

Luzern's goal production is stuttering with 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.93

Vaduz is currently scoring more frequently with 2.4 goals per match than their season average of 1.75

Extreme defensive weakness for Vaduz with 4.5 goals conceded per away match

Luzern concedes an average of 1.81 goals at home

关键球员

Matteo Di Giusto leads Luzern's midfield with 2 goals and a 7.24 rating

Daniel Mikolajewski provides threat with 1 goal and 1 assist

Andrejs Ciganiks solidifies the defense and has already scored 1 goal

Lutfi Dalipi shines for Vaduz with 2 goals and 4 assists

Juan Cabrera has already contributed 3 goals this season

Dominik Schwizer impresses in midfield with 2 goals

门将

Karlo Letica guards the goal for Luzern, recording 7 clean sheets this season

On the other side, Leon Schaffran is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season

Statistically, Luzern has the more stable presence between the posts

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the swissporarena

Luzern benefits from home advantage, scoring an average of 2.0 home goals per game

Matches played at this venue have seen an average of 3.2 goals

The probability of both teams scoring is calculated at 71%

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