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Super League

Thun - Lausanne Sport

09/02/2026, 06:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Thun
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Lausanne Sport
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
THULS

Thun

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.96
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.03
Fabio Fehr替补席 (2球, 7助攻)
Marco Bürki替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

Lausanne Sport

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.31倍)
-1.34
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.87
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.42
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.09
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.1球)
+1.61
+1.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

28%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Balanced outlook: Mathematical analysis predicts a close match with a 37% home win and 35% away win probability
  • Tactical play: Thun recently averaged 42.2% possession and 3.8 shots on target, while Lausanne averaged 53% possession
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Thun scores 2.14 goals per home game, whereas Lausanne concedes 2.43 goals per away match
风险因素
  • Squad depth issues for Thun: Fabio Fehr and Marco Bürki are missing, leaving only 66% of the usual goal threat available
  • Fatigue concerns: Thun enters the game with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Low efficiency: Lausanne Sport averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Thun (6th place, 6 points) host Lausanne Sport (8th place, 5 points) at the Stockhorn Arena

Super League match on September 2, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams are closely ranked in the standings

近期状态

Thun holds a form curve of LLLDW with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

Lausanne Sport travels with a form curve of DWDLL, consisting of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

统计数据

Thun averages 2.11 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per game this season

Lausanne Sport averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded

Away from home, Lausanne struggles defensively with 2.43 goals conceded per match

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Thun has 2 wins and Lausanne Sport has 1 win with 8:4 goals

The last encounter on February 12, 2026, ended in a clear 5:1 victory for Thun

关键球员

Brighton Labeau scored 3 goals in his last 3 games with a rating of 7.42

Nils Reichmuth contributed 1 goal and 1 assist recently

Jan Bamert played 3 matches recently, stabilizing the defense

Florent Mollet scored 2 goals in 5 appearances this season with a 7.08 rating

Omar Janneh recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games

Karim Sow has been solid defensively with 1 assist and a 7.09 rating

门将

Niklas Steffen played 36 matches this season and recorded 6 clean sheets

M. Mastil appeared 5 times and contributed to his team's total of 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The match takes place on artificial turf at the Stockhorn Arena

Thun has a home record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses on this surface

Lausanne Sport has registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses on artificial turf

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