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Super League

Basel - Sion

09/03/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Basel
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Sion
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BASSIO

Basel

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.76
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.49
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.41
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
全员可用

Sion

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
Rilind Nivokazi替补席 (13球, 5助攻)
Ilyas Chouaref未进大名单 (9球, 8助攻)
Franck Surdez替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.37
+1.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

26%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

74%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 53% with 1.76 expected goals for Basel
  • Basel show a much more stable recent form with 3 wins and only one loss in their last 5 matches compared to Sion
  • Basel are offensively improved, currently averaging 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
风险因素
  • Squad restriction for Basel with only 18% of seasonal goal production available in the current lineup
  • Sion are missing Rilind Nivokazi, Ilyas Chouaref and Franck Surdez, leaving only 59% of their usual goal threat available
  • Sion have a shorter recovery period with only 4 days of rest since their last match
概述

Basel in 3rd place with 10 points host Sion in 7th place with 6 points

Super League match on September 3, 2026, 8:30 PM at St. Jakob-Park

Basel aim to stay close to the top of the table

近期状态

Form Basel: WLWWD - 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in recent matches

Form Sion: WWLLL - 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses

Basel recently drew 3-3 against Young Boys

Sion lost their last match 1-2 against Lugano

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Basel average 1.45 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season

In home matches Basel average 1.45 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded

Sion average 1.66 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded

Sion average 1.62 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded away from home

Both teams scored in 23 of Basel's 38 games this season

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches recorded

Both teams have 2 wins each with 1 draw

The goal difference is 4-5 from Basel's perspective

Sion won the last head-to-head match 2-0 away on April 26, 2026

关键球员

Asane Sow has 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.19 in 5 appearances

Zan Celar scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a 6.87 rating

Kazeem Olaigbe has 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches with a 6.98 rating

Winsley Boteli scored 8 goals in 23 matches with a 6.74 rating

Donat Rrudhani contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 21 matches with a 6.93 rating

Ali Kabacalman has 3 goals and 2 assists in 37 matches with a 7.02 rating

门将

Mirko Salvi played in 4 of the last 5 matches for Basel

Basel have kept 9 clean sheets in total this season

Anthony Racioppi played in 4 of the last 5 matches for Sion

Sion have kept 15 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The home advantage at St. Jakob-Park is supported by the grass surface

Historical stadium statistics at St. Jakob-Park show an average of 3.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of historical matches at this stadium

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