Super League
Lugano - Servette
09/03/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.1
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
12%1:0
10%0:2
8%xG 分解
Lugano
Servette
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
33%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Lugano is scoring more frequently recently with 2.4 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.8
- Servette averaged a strong 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
- The mathematical model predicts a slight advantage for Servette with a 37% away win probability
风险因素
- Only 65% of regular starting strength for Lugano is available, missing Kevin Behrens, Anto Grgic, and Mattia Zanotti
- Servette's offensive output has stalled recently averaging 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
- Servette concedes a vulnerable average of 1.89 goals per away game
概述
Lugano hosts Servette at the Stadio di Cornaredo
Super League match on September 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
Second-placed Lugano (12 points) faces tenth-placed Servette (4 points)
Lugano aims to challenge for the top spot while Servette needs points to climb
近期状态
Lugano in strong form across all competitions with WDWDW
They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five games
Servette has been inconsistent with WLLWD showing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Lugano enters this match undefeated in recent games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lugano averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded per game this season
Strong home defense for Lugano with only 0.87 goals conceded per game at Stadio di Cornaredo
Servette is strong offensively with 1.87 goals per match but concedes 1.66 on average
Away from home Servette concedes an average of 1.89 goals per game
历史交锋
Historical advantage lies with the visitors
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Servette achieved 3 wins, Lugano 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw
The last meeting on February 11, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Servette scored 11 goals in these matches compared to 7 for Lugano
关键球员
Miroslav Stevanovic shines for the visitors with 14 goals, 7 assists, and a 7.32 rating
Samuel Mraz has contributed 10 goals and 2 assists this season
Renato Steffen is key for the attack with 8 goals and 3 assists
Not in squad for Servette is Florian Ayé (11 goals, 2 assists)
门将
David von Ballmoos guards Lugano's goal, keeping 12 clean sheets this season
Edvinas Gertmonas starts for Servette, whose defense has recorded 9 clean sheets overall
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Stadio di Cornaredo
The venue history shows an average of 2.8 goals scored per game
Lugano benefits from solid defensive statistics in their home stadium