Super League
Basel - Lugano
09/06/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Basel
Lugano
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
27%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Basel currently has only 20% of their seasonal goal-scoring threat available
- Basel currently scores an average of 2.0 goals, which is higher than their season average of 1.5
- Basel averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Lugano's 4.0
风险因素
- Basel with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Lugano with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited data on expected goals for Lugano's recent matches
概述
Basel (3rd place, 10 points) hosts Lugano (2nd place, 15 points) at St. Jakob-Park
Super League match on September 6, 2026, 4:30 PM
Lugano arrives undefeated in second place
Basel aims to reduce the gap and utilize their home advantage
近期状态
Basel shows mixed form with LWWDL
Most recently they suffered a 1-2 home defeat against Sion
They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Lugano arrives in strong form with DWDWW
Most recently they secured a 1-0 home win against Servette
They registered 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
统计数据
Basel scores an average of 1.45 goals per game this season while conceding 1.53
In home games Basel averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded
Lugano averages 1.55 goals scored per match and allows 1.11 goals conceded
In away games Lugano concedes an average of 1.47 goals and scores 1.53
St. Jakob-Park sees an average of 3.6 goals per game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 3 times, Basel won once, and there was 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a clear 4-0 home win for Lugano on May 17, 2026
The goal difference of these matches is 11-7 in favor of Lugano
Lugano enters this matchup as the historically dominant side
关键球员
Asane Sow scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists in 6 matches with a rating of 7.13
Zan Celar already scored 4 times in 6 appearances this season
Kazeem Olaigbe contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 games
Anto Grgic provided 4 assists in 5 appearances for Lugano with a strong rating of 7.73
Dereck Moncada has already scored 3 goals in 5 games
Renato Steffen contributes 1 goal and 1 assist from 5 matches with a rating of 7.45
门将
Jonas Omlin starts in goal for Basel and has an average rating of 6.41
David von Ballmoos guards the goal for Lugano with an average rating of 6.98
Basel kept 9 clean sheets in total this season
Lugano recorded 12 clean sheets so far in this campaign
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at St. Jakob-Park
The stadium features a high scoring rate of average 3.6 goals per match
The rate for matches with both teams scoring at this venue is 80%
Basel scores average 1.45 goals and concedes 1.05 at home