Super League
Young Boys - Luzern
09/05/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.7
1.7
2:1
9%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Young Boys
Luzern
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
23%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- Attacking form: Young Boys are scoring more frequently (3.8) than their season average (2.3)
- Tactical advantage: Young Boys averaged 9.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Historical edge: Young Boys won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches against Luzern
风险因素
- Severe attacking shortage: Luzern only have 9% of their seasonal goal production active in this lineup
- Defensive vulnerability: Young Boys concede an average of 1.82 goals per game this season
概述
Young Boys (2nd place, 14 points) host Luzern (5th place, 8 points) at Stadion Wankdorf
Super League match on September 5, 2026, 6:00 PM
Young Boys aim to close the gap to the top of the table
近期状态
Young Boys show stable form with WDWDW
Luzern enter the match with form LDWDW
The hosts recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
Luzern registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Young Boys average 2.15 goals scored in home matches
The hosts concede an average of 1.25 goals at home
Luzern average 2.00 goals scored in away games
The visitors concede an average of 1.65 goals on the road
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches
Young Boys won 4 times, while Luzern secured 1 victory
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 win for Young Boys
关键球员
Samuel Essende leads the attack with 5 goals and 3 assists
Alvyn Sanches contributes 3 goals and 2 assists for the hosts
Matteo Di Giusto is the top scorer for the visitors with 2 goals and 1 assist
门将
Marvin Keller guards the home goal with an average rating of 6.78
Karlo Letica features in goal for Luzern with a 6.89 rating
Young Boys have kept 8 clean sheets, compared to 7 for Luzern
影响因素
Matches at Stadion Wankdorf historically average 5.4 goals per game
The mathematical model projects 2.05 expected home goals and 1.66 expected away goals
The calculated home win probability is 46%