🇨🇭

Super League

Lugano - Young Boys

09/12/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Lugano
1.7
Total xG
3.5
Young Boys
1.9
最可能的比分

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:3

5%

2:3

4%
xG 分解
LUGYB

Lugano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.82
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.81
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.50
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.01
全员可用

Young Boys

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.43
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
-0.41
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.28
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
+0.28
Lewin Blum替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Joël Monteiro未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.32
+1.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

24%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

76%

双方进球

70%

30%

关键因素
  • Only 25% of Lugano's regular goal production is available in the current squad
  • Young Boys averaged a strong 8.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • The mathematical model expects a high-scoring game with a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Lugano averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Young Boys concede an average of 2.44 goals per away game this season
概述

Top-of-the-table clash in the Super League on September 12, 2026, 7:00 PM

League leaders Lugano (1st place, 18 points) host second-placed Young Boys (2nd place, 15 points) at the Stadio di Cornaredo

A crucial battle for the top spot in the standings

近期状态

Lugano is in excellent shape with a recent form of WDWWW

The home side registered 4 wins and 1 draw in their recent matches

The visitors from Bern are also stable with a form of DWDWD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Lugano scores an average of 1.55 goals per game while conceding 1.11 this season

At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.87 goals per match

Young Boys boasts a strong offense with 2.11 goals scored per game but struggles defensively away from home, conceding 2.44 goals per match

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2 times, Young Boys won once, with 2 draws

The goal difference in these matches is 7:5 in favor of Lugano

The last encounter ended in a 1:0 home win for Lugano on May 3, 2026

关键球员

For Lugano, midfielder Anto Grgic stands out with a 7.64 rating and 4 assists

Renato Steffen adds threat in attack with 1 goal and 2 assists

For the visitors, forward Samuel Essende shines with 7 goals and 3 assists

Additionally, Lewin Blum (2 goals, 3 assists) and Joël Monteiro (3 goals, 1 assist) are not in the starting lineup

门将

David von Ballmoos starts in goal for Lugano with a season average rating of 6.89

Marvin Keller starts for Young Boys, holding an average rating of 6.77

Lugano kept 12 clean sheets this season, compared to 8 for Young Boys

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Stadio di Cornaredo

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.8 goals per match on this pitch

Both teams scored in 40% of historical matches at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。