Super League
Luzern - Basel
09/13/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Luzern
Basel
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
25%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Form disparity: Luzern remains unbeaten in their last 5 games, whereas Basel suffered two consecutive defeats recently
- Luzern's efficient counter-tactics: The hosts averaged 5.4 shots on target with only 42% possession in recent matches
- Significant squad impact: Basel misses playmaker Asane Sow, leaving them with only 71% of their active goals share
风险因素
- Vulnerable away defense: Basel concedes an average of 2.06 goals per away match
- Goalkeeper replacement: The injured Jonas Omlin has to be replaced by Mirko Salvi
- Luzern's home defensive leaks: The hosts concede an average of 1.81 goals per home game
概述
Luzern hosts Basel at the swissporarena
Super League match on September 13, 2026, 4:30 PM
Luzern is in 6th place with 9 points, Basel is in 4th place with 10 points
A tight midfield battle is expected
近期状态
Luzern is unbeaten in 5 matches with the form DWDWD (2 wins, 3 draws)
Basel travels with the form WWDLL after consecutive defeats (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Luzern shows a more stable form curve
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Luzern consistently scores around 1.9 goals per game
Luzern concedes an average of 1.81 goals at home
Basel is currently scoring more frequently with 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.5
Basel concedes an average of 2.06 goals on their travels
历史交锋
The last 5 head-to-head matches show 2 wins for each team and 1 draw
The last meeting ended in a 4-2 win for Luzern
The historical goal difference is close at 8-10 in favor of Basel
关键球员
Matteo Di Giusto scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 7 games for Luzern (rating 7.37)
Andrejs Ciganiks has also scored 3 goals in 7 appearances with a rating of 7.24
For Basel, Zan Celar is the biggest threat with 4 goals and 1 assist in 7 games
门将
Karlo Letica is in goal for Luzern (rating 7.01, 7 clean sheets this season)
Mirko Salvi guards the net for Basel (rating 6.65, 9 clean sheets overall for the team)
影响因素
The swissporarena averages 3.0 goals per match
The probability for over 2.5 goals is calculated at 65%
Both teams to score is estimated at 67% probability