🇨🇭

Super League

Lausanne Sport - Lugano

09/20/2026, 02:30 PM

0 : 4
预期进球
Lausanne Sport
1.4
Total xG
3.1
Lugano
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
LSLUG

Lausanne Sport

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.61
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.36
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.25
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.18
Florent Mollet替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Lugano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.91
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.59
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.09
Renato Steffen未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.38
+1.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

26%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Form gap: League leaders Lugano are unbeaten (WWWDW) while Lausanne Sport are winless in their last 5 games
  • Goal production: Lausanne Sport's attack is stalling (0.8 goals per match compared to a season average of 1.5), while Lugano scores 2.4 goals, above their average of 1.9
  • Tactics: Lugano averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Lausanne Sport's average of 3.0
风险因素
  • Lausanne Sport averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • High defensive vulnerability for the hosts with 1.76 goals conceded per game on average
概述

Lausanne Sport hosts Lugano at the Stade de la Tuilière

Super League match on September 20, 2026, 4:30 PM

League leaders Lugano with 22 points face bottom side Lausanne Sport with 6 points

近期状态

Lausanne Sport is in poor form with the record LLDLL and no wins in five games

Lugano travels in top shape with the record WWWDW and four wins in their last five

统计数据

Lausanne Sport concedes an average of 1.76 goals per game

Lugano scores 1.55 goals on average and concedes only 1.11 goals

The mathematical model predicts an away win probability of 43%

历史交锋

The last 5 meetings are balanced with 1 win each and 3 draws

The last direct duel ended in a 2-1 victory for Lugano

关键球员

Omar Janneh has scored 1 league goal in 8 matches

Anto Grgic leads Lugano's midfield with 4 assists

Not nominated: Florent Mollet (2 goals, 1 assist)

Not nominated: Renato Steffen (1 goal, 2 assists)

门将

M. Mastil played 8 matches so far for the hosts

David von Ballmoos appeared 7 times in goal for Lugano

影响因素

Matches at the Stade de la Tuilière average 3.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the games played at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。