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Super League

Luzern - Grasshopper

09/19/2026, 04:00 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
Luzern
1.9
Total xG
3.5
Grasshopper
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
LUZGRA

Luzern

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.06
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.05
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.04
全员可用

Grasshopper

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.98
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.65
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
Samuele Bengondo替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅94%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.36
+1.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

25%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

69%

否

31%

关键因素
  • Luzern averaged 5.4 shots on target per game in recent matches with 43.8% possession
  • Grasshopper concede an average of 2.35 goals per away game this season
  • Historical dominance favors Luzern with 4 wins out of the last 5 meetings
风险因素
  • According to the dataset only 16% of Luzern's usual goal production is available
  • Grasshopper travel with only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Grasshopper conceded 5 goals in their last game against Sion
概述

Luzern host Grasshopper at the swissporarena

Super League match on September 19, 2026, 6:00 PM

Mid-table clash between 8th and 9th place

Mathematical analysis favors Luzern with a 43% win probability

近期状态

Luzern form: WDWDL

Luzern lost their last match 2-4 against Basel

Grasshopper form: LWDWL

Grasshopper lost their last match 2-5 against Sion

统计数据

Luzern average 2.00 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded per game this season

Grasshopper average 1.26 goals scored and 1.95 goals conceded per game

Luzern concede an average of 1.81 goals at home

Grasshopper concede an average of 2.35 goals away from home

历史交锋

Luzern won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Luzern

Goal difference in these matches is 16-9 in favor of Luzern

关键球员

Matteo Di Giusto with 3 goals and 1 assist this season

Andrejs Ciganiks with 3 goals and a rating of 7.17

Rúben Dantas Fernandes with 1 goal and 1 assist

Samuel Krasniqi with 2 goals, 2 assists and a rating of 6.91

Amir Abrashi with 2 goals and 1 assist

Yannick Bettkober with an average rating of 7.28

Not in the squad for the visitors is Samuele Bengondo

门将

Karlo Letica is in goal for Luzern, who have 7 clean sheets this season

Marvin Hübel is in goal for the visitors, who have 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Played on natural grass at the swissporarena

The venue recently averaged 3.0 goals per game

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