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Super League

Basel - St. Gallen

09/20/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Basel
1.4
Total xG
2.9
St. Gallen
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
BASSG

Basel

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.46倍)
-1.22
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.68
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.20
Asane Sow未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)

St. Gallen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-1.14
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.71
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.38
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.22
Lukas Görtler未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.38
+1.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

28%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Trend advantage for Basel: The hosts currently score more (2.2) than their season average (1.5), while St. Gallen's attack has stalled at 1.2
  • Historical dominance for the visitors: St. Gallen won four of the last five direct encounters against Basel, with a 10-3 goal ratio
  • High-scoring stadium profile: St. Jakob-Park averages 3.6 goals per game, supported by a calculated 60% BTTS probability
风险因素
  • Defensive struggles for both: Basel conceded 2.2 goals per game in recent matches, while St. Gallen conceded an average of 2.6 in their latest outings
  • Key absences: Basel are without the impactful Asane Sow (3 goals, 4 assists), while St. Gallen play without midfield anchor Lukas Görtler (2 goals, 1 assist)
概述

Basel host St. Gallen at the St. Jakob-Park

Super League match on September 20, 2026, 4:30 PM

Basel sit in 4th place with 13 points

St. Gallen are in 8th place with 10 points

A key mid-table clash in the Swiss league

近期状态

Basel show mixed form with a WDLLW record

The hosts recently secured a 4-2 win against Luzern

St. Gallen are struggling with LLWLL form, losing four of their last five matches

The visitors are on a two-game losing streak

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Basel score 1.45 goals per game and concede 1.53 on average

St. Gallen have a strong attack scoring 1.89 goals per match this season

Away from home, St. Gallen concede only 1.14 goals per game

Matches at St. Jakob-Park averaged 3.6 goals per game this season

历史交锋

St. Gallen dominate the recent head-to-head with 4 wins in 5 matches

Basel did not win any of those meetings, with 1 draw

The last direct encounter ended in a 3-1 away win for St. Gallen on May 14, 2026

Goal difference stands at 10-3 in favor of the visitors

关键球员

Zan Celar leads Basel's attack with 5 goals this season

Kazeem Olaigbe has been highly productive with 2 goals and 4 assists

Xherdan Shaqiri contributed 3 goals and 1 assist

Aliou Baldé has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist for St. Gallen

Chima Okoroji registered 3 assists this season

Lukas Daschner has scored 2 goals so far

门将

Mirko Salvi starts for Basel, holding a season rating of 6.62

Basel have recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Lawrence Ati Zigi features for St. Gallen with a season rating of 6.61

The visitors have kept 8 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Basel play on grass at St. Jakob-Park

The stadium statistics show an average of 3.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches at this venue

St. Gallen had only 4 days of rest compared to Basel's 7 days

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