Super League
Thun - Luzern
02/28/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.5
1.7
2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%3:1
5%3:2
4%xG 分解
Thun
Luzern
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
25%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Thun is the league leader and in perfect form with five consecutive wins, giving them enormous confidence
- The artificial turf at the Stockhorn Arena is a clear home advantage, as Thun is accustomed to it (8 wins), while Luzern struggles on it (1 loss)
- Both teams are strong offensively, but Thun's significantly more stable defense (1.08 goals conceded/game) should make the difference in an expected high-scoring match
风险因素
- Thun has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to potential fatigue
- Luzern is also in a strong offensive phase, recently scoring more goals than their season average (3.5 vs 2.1)
- Luzern is missing an important offensive player in Kevin Spadanuda (4 goals, 2 assists), which could limit their goal-scoring threat
概述
Top match in the Super League: League leader Thun (1st place, 61 points) hosts FC Luzern (7th place, 33 points)
The match will take place on February 28, 2026, 6:00 PM at the Stockhorn Arena
Thun aims to extend their lead at the top, while Luzern looks to close the gap to the top teams
近期状态
Thun is in outstanding form with five wins from the last five matches
Form: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Luzern is also unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws
Form: DDWWW
统计数据
Thun has the best attack in the league, averaging 2.31 goals per game
Luzern is also very dangerous in front of goal, averaging 2.00 goals per game
Defensively, Thun is much more solid, conceding only 1.08 goals per game, while Luzern concedes 1.88
Luzern's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, with 1.82 goals conceded per match
历史交锋
The historical record of the last five encounters is perfectly balanced
Both teams have won two matches each, with one draw
The goal difference is 7:8 from Thun's perspective
Thun won the last duel at home clearly with 4:1
关键球员
For Thun, the standout players are Elmin Rastoder (10 goals, 4 assists), Leonardo Bertone (8 goals, 1 assist), and Kastriot Imeri (5 goals, 5 assists)
The key players for Luzern are Matteo Di Giusto (9 goals, 10 assists), Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira (7 goals, 1 assist), and Oscar Kabwit (5 goals, 4 assists)
门将
In goal for Thun is Niklas Steffen; his team has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Pascal Loretz is Luzern's goalkeeper; the team has 4 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf, which could be a significant advantage for Thun
Thun has a strong record of 8 wins and only 2 losses on this surface
Luzern lost their only game on artificial turf this season
The Stockhorn Arena has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.0 goals in the last five matches