🇨🇭
Super League
Lausanne Sport - Basel
03/01/2026, 01:00 PM
1 : 2
预期进球
Lausanne Sport
1.8
Total xG
3.7
Basel
1.9
最可能的比分
1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%1:3
5%3:1
5%xG 分解
LSBAS
Lausanne Sport
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
Theo Bair未进首发 (6球, 0助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
Basel
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.10
Philip Otele未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Dominik Schmid未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
联赛
高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.82
+0.82
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
24%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- Both teams show defensive weaknesses, with Lausanne conceding 2.6 goals per game recently, and Basel 2.0
- The mathematical model expects an open game with a high probability of 72% for 'Both teams to score'
- Basel's attack is statistically strong, averaging 5.2 shots on target per game
风险因素
- Lausanne Sport must play without top scorer Theo Bair (6 goals), leaving only 67% of their goal threat available
- Basel is missing key players like Philip Otele and Dominik Schmid, meaning only 69% of their goal threat is on the field
- Lausanne had a much shorter recovery time since the last match, with only 3 days
概述
Lausanne Sport (9th place, 30 points) hosts Basel (5th place, 40 points) at the Stade de la Tuilière
近期状态
Super League match on March 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
统计数据
Lausanne Sport form (all competitions): L-D-D-L-L
历史交锋
Both teams are in the middle of the table and are looking for more consistent performances
关键球员
They are winless in their last 5 matches, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
门将
Basel has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
影响因素
In the last 5 encounters, there was 1 win for Lausanne Sport, 1 win for Basel, and 3 draws