Super League
St. Gallen - Winterthur
02/28/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
2.7
3.5
0.8
2:0
11%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
8%1:1
7%xG 分解
St. Gallen
Winterthur
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
76%
平局
16%
客胜
8%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
92%
客胜或平局
24%
非平局
84%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Winterthur's defensive weakness: The visitors concede an average of 4.3 goals away from home, facing St. Gallen's strong attack (avg 2.0 goals)
- Vastly different form curves: St. Gallen is unbeaten in 5 games, while Winterthur is on a 4-game losing streak
- Strong mathematical prediction: The model gives St. Gallen a 76% win probability and expects 2.68 goals from the home team
风险因素
- Winterthur's attack is weakened, with only 69% of their seasonal goal threat available on the pitch
- Potential fatigue for Winterthur, who have had only 3 days of rest since their last match, compared to St. Gallen's 7 days
- Although the last result was decisive, the head-to-head record over the last 5 games is balanced
概述
St. Gallen (2nd place, 47 points) hosts Winterthur (12th place, 14 points) at Kybunpark
Super League match on February 28, 2026, 6:00 PM
A clear clash between a title contender and the bottom-of-the-table team
近期状态
St. Gallen is in excellent form and unbeaten in the last 5 games
Form: DWDWD (2 wins, 3 draws)
Winterthur is in a deep crisis, having lost their last 4 matches
Form: DLLLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
St. Gallen has a strong attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game
Winterthur has the weakest defense in the league with 75 goals conceded in 26 games, especially away (avg 4.3 goals conceded)
Winterthur has not kept a single clean sheet this season
St. Gallen has been involved in matches with over 2.5 goals in 18 of 25 games, while for Winterthur it was 22 of 26
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct encounters, the record is balanced with 2 wins each and one draw
The goal difference is narrowly in favor of St. Gallen at 13:11
The last meeting just a few days ago was a clear 5-1 victory for St. Gallen
关键球员
Alessandro Vogt (12 goals, 3 assists) and Carlo Boukhalfa (10 goals, 3 assists) are the top scorers for St. Gallen
Lukas Görtler is the key player in midfield with 8 assists
For Winterthur, Théo Golliard (3 goals, 4 assists) and Randy Schneider (2 goals, 4 assists) are the most important offensive players
门将
St. Gallen's Lawrence Ati Zigi has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Winterthur's Stefanos Kapino, on the other hand, is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season
影响因素
St. Gallen is very strong at home, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game at Kybunpark
Recent matches at Kybunpark have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals per game
In 4 of St. Gallen's last 5 home games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals