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Super League

Young Boys - Zürich

03/01/2026, 03:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Young Boys
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Zürich
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
YBZÜR

Young Boys

防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.31
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.4球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.14
Jaouen Hadjam未进首发 (2球, 4助攻)
Sergio Córdova未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

Zürich

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.51
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03
Matthias Phaëton未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Steven Zuber未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Jahnoah Markelo未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.82
+0.82
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Strong home advantage for Young Boys, who score almost one goal more than they concede on average at home, while Zürich is very vulnerable away
  • Historical dominance: Young Boys are unbeaten in the last five encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) and won the last match comfortably 3-0
  • Offensive form: Young Boys' attacking performance has recently improved (2.4 goals per game in the last 5 games vs. 1.9 season average)
风险因素
  • Zürich's offense is weakened by absences, with only 64% of the season's goalscorers available, missing top scorer Matthias Phaëton (7 goals) among others
  • Both teams have vulnerable defenses, conceding nearly two goals per game on average this season, which could lead to an unpredictable result
  • Young Boys' form is inconsistent (WDLWL), showing they can unexpectedly drop points even as favorites
概述

Young Boys (6th place, 36 points) host Zürich (8th place, 31 points) at Stadion Wankdorf

The Super League match takes place on March 1, 2026, at 4:30 PM

It's a mid-table clash where Young Boys will be looking to extend their narrow lead

近期状态

Young Boys Form: WDLWL

In the last five games, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Results have been mixed recently, with a 6-1 win against Winterthur and a 1-3 loss to Sion

Zürich Form: LLWLW

The team has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches

Zürich is also showing inconsistent form, most recently with a 2-1 win against Grasshopper after a 1-4 loss to Luzern

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Offensively, Young Boys are stronger with an average of 2.0 goals per game compared to Zürich's 1.5 goals

Especially at home, YB is very prolific with 2.0 goals per game

Defensively, both teams are vulnerable, with Young Boys conceding an average of 2.0 goals, and Zürich 1.92

However, YB's defense is significantly more stable at home (1.07 goals conceded per game)

For both teams, over 2.5 goals were scored in 20 of 26 league games

历史交锋

Young Boys has clearly dominated the last 5 head-to-head encounters

Young Boys celebrated 3 victories, while Zürich failed to win a single one, with 2 matches ending in a draw

The goal difference is clearly in favor of the home team at 10:5

The last meeting about a month ago was won 3-0 by Young Boys at home

关键球员

Christian Fassnacht is the pivotal player in Young Boys' midfield with 15 season goals and 6 assists

Alvyn Sanches has also contributed an important 5 goals and 5 assists

Edimilson Fernandes is a key playmaker with 5 assists

For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is the most dangerous attacker with 11 season goals

Bledian Krasniqi pulls the strings in midfield and has already set up 6 goals

Defender Lindrit Kamberi not only provides defensive stability but has also been directly involved in 3 goals

门将

Marvin Keller in the Young Boys' goal has kept 5 clean sheets this season, all of them in home games

Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber is still waiting for his first away clean sheet this season

Overall, Zürich has not kept a clean sheet away from home this season

影响因素

The home advantage for Young Boys is statistically significant

They score an average of 2.0 goals per game at home and concede only 1.07

Stadion Wankdorf has recently been the scene of high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.6 goals in the last five games

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